Random wrote:
Pick it a part.. sure..
HOK: There is much better value in the HOK position than Cam Smith. Sure Super Man Cam is a Fantasy god and would do wonders this year. However guys like Segeyaro/McCullough/Peats have potential to score as well if not better than them this year if they get 80 minutes and come in at a cheaper price. You also have Peats with some of the best Byes from a Fantasy perspective. Also as others have mentioned if Parcell ends up on the Bench and only manages to get 20 minutes and a 1PPM. Then it is very likely he doesn't rise in price too much and does nothing to help your team.
FRF: Aaron Woods, Josh McGuire just two guys who are $30k-$40k cheaper then Bromwich and average 3 points less with more upside this year. McGuire returning to the Broncos will be massive and the bloke has a motor. Aaron Woods will be relied on heavier than last year as well. Not sure Jack de Belin will get the minutes everyone thinks he will. They have Frizell, Cooper, ah Mau, If Cooper remains in the Front Row then he should be a solid option, however Jack Trbojevic looks like a better option.
2RF: Corey Parker is massively priced, last year he averaged 62.52 points a game. Sam Burgess, who is $67k cheaper than Corey Parker, who won't play Origin averaged 62.57 points in 2014. Much better value. Will Whitehead get much minutes with Fensom, Soliola and Papalii? In fact Soliola was averaging almost 80 minutes a game, Papalii averaged 71 minutes and Fensom avergaed 67 minutes. Lets also point out Fensom is the workhorse in the Canberra pack and he had the least amount of minutes. Still trust Sticky to give Whitehead enough time on the field?
HLF: If Hastings/Taylor flop you could be in trouble and you have a dead position essentially if Rabbitohs/Panthers don't have an injury. Dead positions from the outset wont help your Team Value.
CTR: Croker is great... every second week, he is just too inconsistent. With blokes like Brown ($70k Cheaper)/Lawrence ($100k Cheaper) starting in the second row which should make them more consistent. Lafai and Hurrell ($100k+ Cheaper) There just seems to much value to be made here to go with Croker, and they have Sezer ready to step in and kick goals if he shanks a few. 1/3 of your Rookie CTR's should kick on.
WFB: Holmes is too much of a risk with the ever present Barba floating around there. Michael Gordon has always been an inconsistent scorer. Jeremy Hawkins and Latrell Mitchell.. Will they get game time or are they relying on injuries. Because we already spoke about how valuable dead positions from the beginning of the year are.
On an actual note, if Parcell isn't starting I feel like he is too much of a risk. The rest of your team is solid, I actually stand by what I said regarding Croker and you should make sure your entire team is named on the first TLT if you can.
HOK: Not sure whether there is better value out there than C Smith. Getting C Smith at start saves trades in a two player position. Don't see Peats or Macca doing any better than last year but will look to get Peats around Origin time. Maybe Segy but not confident on captaining Segy every week of the season and he will have some games where he doesn't score well. Does anyone know if P Wallace has played any hooker before? Cant see Segy getting 80 every week. M Parcell is best prospect for his price I believe. Even if he gets 30-35 minutes and gets an average of 30 I will be happy. Then can pick up Peats for Origin.
FRF: Can't go wrong with Bromwich, hasn't missed a game in two years, no origin, good base stats with attacking potential. Graham undervalued, no origin. Woods has origin and despite being very good at start of year he tailed off bigtime probably due to origin. McGuire coming back from a big injury in a stacked forward pack. I prefer Bromwich and Graham. Don't have to trade. Also Jack DeBelin will fill the Merrin void. Big motor kind of like McGuire will play big mins and tackle all day. Dragons have Good byes.
2RF: Not sure on big Samy to start, may struggle to average 55 at start but will look to bring him in around Origin time possibly. He played out of his skin for that 62 average and being a year out I reckon will take a bit to get back to that level. Would prefer get Parker from start, keep for season. Whitehead is a gun, good value in an attacking Canberra team with plenty of tries in them. Can see Papa/Soliola mins decreasing slightly possibly being in FRF rotation. Worth the gamble at that price. With Tariq out for 5 weeks reckon both Rochow/Tapine will get big mins to start then I can reassess after 6 weeks. Rochow may play close to 80 most of the year on the right. Edwards is cheap and may be starting lock. Don't care how many minutes he gets, Tigers will be doing lots of tackling. Chee Kam may get gametime.
Halves: If Hastings/Taylor flop everyone will be in same boat. Am more inclined to go cheap here, can't afford two guns and the midrangers are a lottery. Would prefer to grab a fallen gun after 6/7 weeks than take a gamble on a midranger firing.
CTR: Reckon Canberra will go well, easy draw, lots of kicking points for Croker plus tries. Not gonna risk Hurrell/Lafai at this stage. Would prefer gun/cashcows approach. Also Brown/Lawrence could easily end up on bench due to depth of
2RF at their clubs or could be pushed to Centre during games to cover injury. Would rather not take that gamble.
WFB: Tedesco/RTS would be ideal but can't afford. Inglis is lazy. Have gone three mid rangers I believe will improve. If there is a sniff of Barba in 17 will probably go Mansour instead of Holmes.
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