NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 4 - Leniu is back on the menu

Camo123 wrote:

Haumole Olakau’atu is aiming to return in Round 4 for the Sea Eagles (via @telegraph_sport). Would be a 5 week return to play after suffering a right elbow subluxation, the 2nd instability event in that elbow for him in the past 12 months

(NRL Physio)

Cheers mate, still not going for Lawton, but feel better about Bully.

Antipodean1 wrote:

Yeah mate I thought I read somewhere recently that Haumole might need 4+ but I couldn't find it again - thought I was going mad.

I have decided this year not to buy anyone I know I will need to trade out due to job security. So I have opted for 3 x mid $ makers and Cook/Randall

Fair amount of scope in that Manly pack for a change around, guys like Taupau and JakeT starting to show wear and tear.

Antipodean1 wrote:

Yeah mate I thought I read somewhere recently that Haumole might need 4+ but I couldn't find it again - thought I was going mad.

I have decided this year not to buy anyone I know I will need to trade out due to job security. So I have opted for 3 x mid $ makers and Cook/Randall

Someone like RFM who isn't a R1 pickup but once starting is about 15-20 points underpriced (based on 2020 scores) minimises the risk of some of these 4-6 week options I reckon

Definitely something I noted last year with making sure to prioritise players that are missing R1 but would have been autopicks otherwise (Turbo & CHN for me last year )

Camo123 wrote:

Someone like RFM who isn't a R1 pickup but once starting is about 15-20 points underpriced minimises the risk of some of these 4-6 week options I reckon

Definitely something I noted last year with making sure to prioritise players that are missing R1 but would have been autopicks otherwise (Turbo & CHN for me last year )

Already got RFM pencilled in when he starts again after injury

Welshy wrote:

Fair amount of scope in that Manly pack for a change around, guys like Taupau and JakeT starting to show wear and tear.

Tapau defo. Jake T seemed to throttle back a bit last season. I thought he looked good in parts of the trial though, he is about 28 i think.

Welshy wrote:

Already got RFM pencilled in when he starts again after injury

100% mate I had him sitting in my 21 for a while with fingers crossed, but yeah he comes in for sure.

Camo123 wrote:

Someone like RFM who isn't a R1 pickup but once starting is about 15-20 points underpriced (based on 2020 scores) minimises the risk of some of these 4-6 week options I reckon

Definitely something I noted last year with making sure to prioritise players that are missing R1 but would have been autopicks otherwise (Turbo & CHN for me last year )

Yep that is a good strategy to save a couple of trades and value up.

Camo123 wrote:

Definitely something I noted last year with making sure to prioritise players that are missing R1 but would have been autopicks otherwise (Turbo & CHN for me last year )

On a slightly related tangent, this has to be so rare for a fantasy season where you've got Grant, Latrell, McInnes and possibly Paps and Cleary, all returning early in rounds 2/3, but some combination of those guys definitely would've featured in majority of the serious teams had they been available. I guess something similar happened last year too where 2 of the 3 major captaincy choices got scratched in pre season, but I've been playing since 2017 and can't remember a scenario like this one. I've never started with a red dot before but I think I might have to buck that trend for at least one of those guys and save a trade.

Antipodean1 wrote:

Tapau defo. Jake T seemed to throttle back a bit last season. I thought he looked good in parts of the trial though, he is about 28 i think.

Jurbo is about 32 in NRL game minutes.

Had a conversation with EasyT about the game potentially slowing up a bit again and some of the more plodding middles coming back into focus.

Do any of us like guys like JDB, Yeo, JTurbo to elevate back to around the 55 point mark this year?

JDB especially as some low minute games already lowering his average, no McGuire early season and Vaughan gone also. Lawrie could be early season smokie for same reason as above with extra minutes/workload but doubt he goes over 50

Welshy wrote:Had a conversation with EasyT about the game potentially slowing up a bit again and some of the more plodding middles coming back into focus.

Do any of us like guys like JDB, Yeo, JTurbo to elevate back to around the 55 point mark this year?

JDB especially as some low minute games already lowering his average, no McGuire early season and Vaughan gone also. Lawrie could be early season smokie for same reason as above with extra minutes/workload but doubt he goes over 50

I definitely think Yeo can, JDB probably can, but Jurbo not so much. I just don't think he has it in him

Antipodean1 wrote:Am I the only one sitting here lamenting no footy this weekend, what a big tease trials has been this year with all the games getting streamed. I am hanging out for the season to finally kick-off!

Moto GP this weekend

Lchy wrote:

On a slightly related tangent, this has to be so rare for a fantasy season where you've got Grant, Latrell, McInnes and possibly Paps and Cleary, all returning early in rounds 2/3, but some combination of those guys definitely would've featured in majority of the serious teams had they been available. I guess something similar happened last year too where 2 of the 3 major captaincy choices got scratched in pre season, but I've been playing since 2017 and can't remember a scenario like this one. I've never started with a red dot before but I think I might have to buck that trend for at least one of those guys and save a trade.

No problem starting with a round 1 red dot if you know it's only for one round. It's the only week where you know you have 20 fit players, so can be used to loop which should mitigate losses (eg red dot Grant, loop Ilias and Amine or whoever).

2 red dots seems like overkill though, and we *know* Grant/Munster/Latrell are back from suspension in round 2, while if Cleary or Pap are out there's still uncertainty about their injuries beyond that.

StuDogg101 wrote:

I definitely think Yeo can, JDB probably can, but Jurbo not so much. I just don't think he has it in him

The benefit of Jurbo is that the TB change doesn't impact him as he never breaks tackles.

rhinoceroo wrote:

The benefit of Jurbo is that the TB change doesn't impact him as he never breaks tackles.

Watch him go on a tear now and average something stupid like 1.478 per game. PMSL

Welshy wrote:Had a conversation with EasyT about the game potentially slowing up a bit again and some of the more plodding middles coming back into focus.

Do any of us like guys like JDB, Yeo, JTurbo to elevate back to around the 55 point mark this year?

JDB especially as some low minute games already lowering his average, no McGuire early season and Vaughan gone also. Lawrie could be early season smokie for same reason as above with extra minutes/workload but doubt he goes over 50

definitely think there will be an impact. posted about it yesterday (or the day before?). 2021 was an outlier season for fantasy scores imo.

rhinoceroo wrote:

No problem starting with a round 1 red dot if you know it's only for one round. It's the only week where you know you have 20 fit players, so can be used to loop which should mitigate losses (eg red dot Grant, loop Ilias and Amine or whoever).

2 red dots seems like overkill though, and we *know* Grant/Munster/Latrell are back from suspension in round 2, while if Cleary or Pap are out there's still uncertainty about their injuries beyond that.

Agree that 2 reds is definitely pushing it. Paps is easily my favourite of the lot (other than McInnes but I don't want a 2 round red dot) and an ankle at least gives a more clear cut return date compared to his concussion last year so I might lean towards him. Grant is a tough one because you really can't get a read on his role. Cleary being out would be a blessing in disguise I reckon haha

my tv broke wrote:

definitely think there will be an impact. posted about it yesterday (or the day before?). 2021 was an outlier season for fantasy scores imo.

My current side has JDB in there. But he feels like my previous uber gun wish back to form pick this year

Previous fantasy pedigree a tick under 60 average. Was playing big minutes after R16 last year on return, but no McGuire early and No Vaughan, No CMC has me thinking he's playing 70+ mins where he hits that 60 average.

Priced at 53 though, so no room for error if he doesn't return to form

my tv broke wrote:

definitely think there will be an impact. posted about it yesterday (or the day before?). 2021 was an outlier season for fantasy scores imo.

Rule changes and more penalties should mean the ball is in play slightly less, there are fewer tries, goalkicks and kicking metres.

Means pretty much everyone is "overpriced" and most guns should regress. HOWEVER if the scoring lowers across the board, presumably the magic number will adapt to that through the year. 50 is the new 60.

Bring back David Hatch then !