by Cookie Monster Fri Jan 20, 2023 3:33 pm
easytiger wrote:
I think you are the most correct Rhinoceroo
It seems that the vast majority of players are a pretty exact match to a 14,300 magic number when put against their 2022 average.
Then there are the outlier players that have been manually adjusted for "reasons"
I think Milch's MN of 14,491 is presumably the average across the whole player database when including those adjustments.
I personally think it's more balanced to work off that 14,300 number while realising that some players have extra tariffs (e.g. Turbo with a $100k tariff chucked on him).
You can make a case for a magic number of 14300 by looking at last years data and adjusting it for a $10,000,000 salary cap
The magic numbers for the 23 full rounds (disregarding the 2 bye rounds) from last season average out at 13422.2
To adjust for a 10 mill cap you have to multiply the above MN by 1.064 (10,000,000 / 9,400,000 = 1.06383)
13422.2 x 1.064 = 14300
Whether this is what Failhub (Genius) have actually done, I can't say for sure, but it seems reasonable