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    NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 10 - Look in my Eyes. I'll diagnose what ails you

    multiple.scoregasms
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    Post by multiple.scoregasms Tue Mar 07, 2023 8:05 am

    my tv broke wrote:

    I prefer "washed up, jaded, has-been"

    Welcome to the club brother
    Revraiser
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    Post by Revraiser Tue Mar 07, 2023 8:07 am

    Chewie wrote:oh man, I was just getting excited about the return of the legendary "trials and tribulations" Crying or Very sad

    Can a mode change that thread title to 'An ode to Boozy'...

    Hopefully he comes back.

    Just recalibrate Boozy and chime in later.


    Last edited by Revraiser on Tue Mar 07, 2023 11:21 am; edited 1 time in total
    multiple.scoregasms
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    Post by multiple.scoregasms Tue Mar 07, 2023 8:08 am

    Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:

    That’s fair. Sorry mate wasn’t intentionally being a prick, just havnt slept in a while

    Congrats again pal

    It doesn't get much better early, I feel like I haven't slept since January
    Regulator
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    Post by Regulator Tue Mar 07, 2023 8:09 am

    Yet again out of trades wrote:For everyone planning the jump to tohu have you considered his mins will go down when jazz returns in the next couple of weeks ?

    Jazz shouldn't even make the team if everyone is healthy imo. Walker is 14, that really just leaves Jazz as an undersized prop.

    I was hesitant on Tohu minutes because they've said Walker has been training to primarily come on at 13, which would push Tohu to prop. Which happened but Tohu just played the game out anyway.

    If Walker/Bunty/Ale/Curran bench doesn't impact Tohu minutes, then I don't see why Jazz replacing presumably Ale makes any difference.

    I still am a little hesitant in that I think they'll manage his minutes a bit through the year just up get him through though.
    Regulator
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    Post by Regulator Tue Mar 07, 2023 8:11 am

    Haven't seen a good forum bitch fit in a while. The season is alive and well.
    easytiger
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    Post by easytiger Tue Mar 07, 2023 8:15 am

    MF wrote:Captain Shaq this week you reckon? Will do ET Razz

    Sorry fat fingered the thumbs up.
    I'll up vote your next posts for karma reasons lol

    But yeah, um, haas 2.0, you could just imagine
    Maybe somehow ends up a 30s player? Stranger this have happened
    multiple.scoregasms
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    Post by multiple.scoregasms Tue Mar 07, 2023 8:26 am

    Camo123 wrote:Who will people be playing from EMG in R4 with Roosters bye. I would be playing Doorey + Sloan/HSS/Katoa/Alamoti

    Originally my plan was to sell Butcher then if he didn’t live up to hype so thinking of fast tracking it


    Right now I've got Doorey, TMM and Katoa. 3 weeks is a long time in fantasy but playing Katoa/Talau really concerns me
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    mattnz
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    Post by mattnz Tue Mar 07, 2023 8:31 am

    Yet again out of trades wrote:For everyone planning the jump to tohu have you considered his mins will go down when jazz returns in the next couple of weeks ?

    The key thing that got me excited about him was less the 80 minutes and more the 1ppm+ for the first 60 minutes. If he only needs 60 minutes to post a 60 and then has the upside of 80 minutes on top of that, it makes him a great pick at a discounted price.
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    Post by mattnz Tue Mar 07, 2023 8:37 am

    manlybeaver wrote:So I'm gonna get shat on for this but going cleary and suaali to carrigan and Harris. Played premium for cleary due to captaining him. But it seems I can captain hopgood. Carrigan and harris I saw as sub guns but look like guns and seem to be underpriced by 100k.

    I have looked at similar. I already have Carrigan and see both him and Harris as must have. Interestingly, both are back to full previous performance following ACLs. Both averaged 60 in 2020.

    Hopgood should be a good captaincy option the next 2 rounds, especially when Cleary has the bye in round 3. Not sure if he retains 80 minutes when Matterson is back in round 4 though. You may need a plan B then. If he is playing 60 minutes, who would you captain?
    Snatchpato
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    Post by Snatchpato Tue Mar 07, 2023 8:43 am

    I'm not going to overreact regarding EButch. Without the sinbin (+7) and extra 10 mins (+7 at a .7ppm) he hits 45 while being priced at 39. Roosters played badly, so he got 0 attacking stats. When the Roosters attack starts to click I see him pumping out some big scores. Not jumping off until their bye, gunna give him 3 chances to impress.

    Edit: thanks Deadelus for the update


    Last edited by Snatchpato on Tue Mar 07, 2023 8:44 am; edited 1 time in total
    BBowler
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    Post by BBowler Tue Mar 07, 2023 8:43 am

    GarethEllisismyDad wrote:garner and brandon smith out,

    reece walsh and teig wilton in

    tempter

    Wilton got 45 with a try in 80 mins?

    Can it be regarded as an upgrade on smith?
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    Post by mattnz Tue Mar 07, 2023 8:43 am

    easytiger wrote:

    It's an interesting argument and appreciate your breakdown of projected minutes.

    A few observations:
    Arrow can play middle minutes, but shifting to the middle means someone plays edge. At the moment that seems like MCK or later Host.
    MCK debuted back in 2014, Host in 2016. I think we all know what to expect from these players and both are borderline first graders.

    Shaq debuted last year playing 3 games for 11, 13 and 13 minutes.
    The year Payne Hass debuted he also played 3 games for 20, 7 and 9 minutes - coincidentally also a 12 min average.
    The following year he averaged 64 minutes.

    I'm not suggesting for a second that Shaq is the next Payne Haas. But what I am suggesting is there is always latitude for players roles to grow. Especially when they are in their initial 50 or so games, and especially if their performance adds value to their team.

    Moale is the future for Souths, but he is young.
    Shaq is 26 years old, has clearly had some life experience/ struggles, but maybe offers more instant professionalism.

    I get the feeling with a lot of these kids coming through that they have the physicality to compete, but it's the mental edge and professionalism that takes a bit more work.
    You often see with older debutants that they adapt to first grade faster.

    I agree with this, very few young MIDs get big minutes early in their careers, Haas and Mofo are exceptions, certainly not the rule. I made the same point about Moale last season.
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    Post by BCT05 Tue Mar 07, 2023 8:44 am

    mattnz wrote:

    The key thing that got me excited about him was less the 80 minutes and more the 1ppm+ for the first 60 minutes. If he only needs 60 minutes to post a 60 and then has the upside of 80 minutes on top of that, it makes him a great pick at a discounted price.

    I'm high on Tohu too but you can't extrapolate that 60mins in the first game to mean he will always go 1 ppm, it will be dependent on game flow etc, in a high scoring game where the ball is being spread more for example I'm sure that scoring rate eases back. In saying that he has the proven history to score around 0.8ppm and I think he's a great option.

    I've come to the realisation I would really have to force things by trading out a gun to get him so probably going to have to give him a miss this week at least.
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    Post by mattnz Tue Mar 07, 2023 8:46 am

    Snatchpato wrote:I'm not going to overreact regarding EButch. Without the sinbin (+7) and extra 10 mins (+7 at a .7ppm) he hits 45 while being priced at 39. Roosters played badly, so he got 0 attacking stats. When the Roosters attack starts to click I see him pumping out some big scores. Not jumping off until their bye, gunna give him 3 chances to impress.

    Edit: thanks Deadelus for the update

    I didn't like the lines he was running, it was like he was always expecting to be the decoy runner and running too far ahead of the ball, so when they did actually pass to him it was behind his shoulder. Also makes it easy for the defence to read when you have no chance of catching the ball.
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    Post by Honey Badger Tue Mar 07, 2023 8:48 am

    multiple.scoregasms wrote:

    Welcome to the club brother

    Im definitely in this club
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    Post by Guest Tue Mar 07, 2023 8:49 am

    Honey Badger wrote:

    Im definitely in this club

    me too this club is growing
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    Post by Guest Tue Mar 07, 2023 8:50 am

    easytiger wrote:

    Sorry fat fingered the thumbs up.
    I'll up vote your next posts for karma reasons lol

    But yeah, um, haas 2.0, you could just imagine
    Maybe somehow ends up a 30s player? Stranger this have happened

    I said before this week it’s weird I don’t want to make trades, I’m normally out but round 15 but I feel I want to jump on a cow that I’ve missed like Carty, Shaq, Thompson, MCK or even Grant from the storm but no matter who I pick it’ll be the wrong one
    GarethEllisismyDad
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    Post by GarethEllisismyDad Tue Mar 07, 2023 9:03 am

    BBowler wrote:

    Wilton got 45 with a try in 80 mins?

    Can it be regarded as an upgrade on smith?

    I like this point, I will do a deeper dive, i think sharks can’t play much worse than they did in that second half

    It’s also more I have hooker cover and not edge, and I do think he’s an upgrade on garner

    Smiths £ is the facilitator


    Update 8 missed tackles for Wilton last game for minus 16, that must be an anomaly

    Ram for 113m and had 38 tackles,

    Update2 he has a career 2.2 missed tackles, not ideal but not a disaster


    Last edited by GarethEllisismyDad on Tue Mar 07, 2023 9:09 am; edited 1 time in total
    my tv broke
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    Post by my tv broke Tue Mar 07, 2023 9:08 am

    Updating the ownership stats.

    Looks like there are only about 110k 'active' teams.. which heavily skews the 'ownership' stats you see in the app.

    As an example, I Katoa is in 81k of those 110k teams. So his actual ownership is more like 74%.

    Cleary was captained by 59k teams in round 1, about 53% of teams.
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    Post by Fraser Tue Mar 07, 2023 9:13 am

    my tv broke wrote:I prefer "washed up, jaded, has-been"

    A "has been" is better than a "never was."

    You'll be back mate.

      Current date/time is Fri Oct 18, 2024 11:25 pm