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    NRL Fantasy 2024 Part 1 - Gates are open, come on in

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    mattnz
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    Post by mattnz Fri Jan 05, 2024 2:34 pm

    White Lightning wrote:

    Duncan if starts on edge will get dpp mid/edg also as currently classified as mid
    On Blore the current edges E. Katoa & Loiero look pretty nailed can't see Blore taking 1 of their spots so imo he's from bench
    Kikau is a wait & see imo he was pretty quiet in 2023
    R. Matterson if starting on edge will be a good option..small sample size in 2023 only 4 games at edg for 70+ mins he av 59
    imo curran, piakura, wong if starts, lucas if pierce-paul is injured (btw pearce-paul is cheaper than lucas at 520k & seems 1st choice) & duncan the options

    There were reports earlier that when Blore arrives, he gets the EDG and Loiero moves into the MID rotation.
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    Post by mintotheimmortal Fri Jan 05, 2024 2:36 pm

    White Lightning wrote:

    Duncan if starts on edge will get dpp mid/edg also as currently classified as mid
    On Blore the current edges E. Katoa & Loiero look pretty nailed can't see Blore taking 1 of their spots so imo he's from bench
    Kikau is a wait & see imo he was pretty quiet in 2023
    R. Matterson if starting on edge will be a good option..small sample size in 2023 only 4 games at edg for 70+ mins he av 59
    imo curran, piakura, wong if starts, lucas if pierce-paul is injured (btw pearce-paul is cheaper than lucas at 520k & seems 1st choice) & duncan the options

    Not sure where I heard it but apparently the plan was to move Loeiro into the middle for 2025 and Blore edge, just fast forward that plan a year. Blore provides a genuine threat ... unlike Loeiro.
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    Post by Guest Fri Jan 05, 2024 2:46 pm

    The Storm with E. Katoa & S. Blore as edges will have a high degree of threat but for fantasy purposes which edge will be more dominant or will it be equal share & will they take points each other
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    Post by Snatchpato Fri Jan 05, 2024 2:50 pm

    mattnz wrote:

    Ok, you asked, so here's my thoughts and wild speculation........

    This year is the year of redemption for some players.

    This year's (insert player who was in form from last year) is likely to be (2024 player).....

    SJ will be Fogarty - Every year there is the half that returns to form, next to a non-kicking 6 and kicks goals, last year was SJ, Chad was that guy previously. This is Fog's year.

    Preston will be Hughes - That Gould guy can spot a winner and is happy to tell the world when he finds one.

    Carty will be Taumalolo - Hearing actual rumours (not started by me), that he will have a bigger role this season. If a guy like Carty can return to form, a genuine wrecking ball with amazing fitness like Lolo, should be able to as well.

    Hammer will be Crichton - Will surprise everyone, by playing better at Fullback at the Dogs and scoring well in fantasy (still not picking him). Lots more run meters to be had in the backs at Bulldogs, than at Panthers, where all back 5 put up huge numbers, really just competing with Kiraz for taking hit ups at Bulldogs.

    Ponga will be Turbo - Gets past the injuries and back to his best form.






    Thats what I'm talking about Beating Heart
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    Post by mattnz Fri Jan 05, 2024 2:57 pm

    White Lightning wrote:The Storm with E. Katoa & S. Blore as edges will have a high degree of threat but for fantasy purposes which edge will be more dominant or will it be equal share & will they take points each other

    A plodder like Loiero scored ok on that EDG. Blore should outscore him significantly.

    multiple.scoregasms
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    Post by multiple.scoregasms Fri Jan 05, 2024 3:11 pm

    rhinoceroo wrote:

    So, a bit of value but no sign of SJ's keeper scores? Because that's kind of what I'd want with a half in his price range, and what happened with SJ last year.

    I also wouldn't assume that whoever plays 5/8th for Raiders simply doesn't kick at all. Don't know about Strange, but Weekes has a kicking game. I wouldn't be expecting all that many conversions either.

    I know I'm likely to be an outlier on this one, but whatever. Getting a whole load of meh from Fog. Average player in the backline of poor teams can be fantasy killers. Good luck to everyone who takes him but going to try to pony up the cash for Moses.

    Fogarty reminds me of 2023 Doueihi. All the numbers say he SHOULD be fantasy value but he plays in a dog shit team and ties up a chunk of cap. Fantasy scoring should be very similar to Burton (bad team, lots of kick metres, goal kicking)
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    Post by mattnz Fri Jan 05, 2024 3:15 pm

    multiple.scoregasms wrote:

    Fogarty reminds me of 2023 Doueihi. All the numbers say he SHOULD be fantasy value but he plays in a dog shit team and ties up a chunk of cap. Fantasy scoring should be very similar to Burton (bad team, lots of kick metres, goal kicking)

    Chad's great season when he was the dominant half at Cowboys, they came 15th, but he still scored well.

    Fog averaged 59 in a team that scraped into the top 8.
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    Post by my tv broke Fri Jan 05, 2024 3:33 pm

    multiple.scoregasms wrote:

    Fogarty reminds me of 2023 Doueihi. All the numbers say he SHOULD be fantasy value but he plays in a dog shit team and ties up a chunk of cap. Fantasy scoring should be very similar to Burton (bad team, lots of kick metres, goal kicking)

    Without reading most of what has been said, this is the correct answer re fogarty
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    Post by Milchcow Fri Jan 05, 2024 3:56 pm

    multiple.scoregasms wrote:

    Fogarty reminds me of 2023 Doueihi. All the numbers say he SHOULD be fantasy value but he plays in a dog shit team and ties up a chunk of cap. Fantasy scoring should be very similar to Burton (bad team, lots of kick metres, goal kicking)

    Doesn't really matter how well he scores as a total. All that matters is how he scores relative to his price. Get them cheap enough and any kicking half can provide value.
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    Post by mattnz Fri Jan 05, 2024 4:12 pm

    Milchcow wrote:

    Doesn't really matter how well he scores as a total. All that matters is how he scores relative to his price. Get them cheap enough and any kicking half can provide value.

    Douehi was $140k more expensive last season to start the year.
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    Post by my tv broke Fri Jan 05, 2024 4:37 pm

    Fog is God, but Fog is 5 points over priced in 2024
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    Post by Milchcow Fri Jan 05, 2024 4:44 pm


    Doueihi's career average in the halves is also 10 points higher than Fogarty

    But the decision isn't 2023 Doueihi or 2024 Fogarty. Its 2024 Fogarty or some other random player

    Its easy to see Fogarty having a few points of value. But games with/without Wighton in the past don't see huge fluctuation in scoring. Its more likely that whoever plays with Fogarty will be the popular pick. Is there anyone not a cheapie in consideration for that role?
    Everyone loves their base price non-kicking halves
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    Post by Welshy Fri Jan 05, 2024 8:26 pm

    Alamoti a starter at the Panthers?
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    Post by my tv broke Fri Jan 05, 2024 8:39 pm

    Welshy wrote:Alamoti a starter at the Panthers?
     
    Wait what.

    Alamoti is back on the meniu?
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    Post by Camo123 Fri Jan 05, 2024 8:46 pm

    Welshy wrote:Alamoti a starter at the Panthers?

    No, Taylan May back from injury will replace Crichton

    Apparently Alamoti will be a bench forward
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    Post by Camo123 Fri Jan 05, 2024 8:46 pm

    my tv broke wrote:
     
    Wait what.

    Alamoti is back on the meniu?

    Might be on the Leniu menu apparently
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    Post by Welshy Fri Jan 05, 2024 8:47 pm

    my tv broke wrote:
     
    Wait what.

    Alamoti is back on the meniu?

    Does he just drop in for Crichton? or has he done something naughty in offseason?
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    Post by Welshy Fri Jan 05, 2024 8:48 pm

    Camo123 wrote:

    No, Taylan May back from injury will replace Crichton

    Apparently Alamoti will be a bench forward

    Bugger, only just opened it all up for a looksie! Alamoti doesn't replace Crichton in the Centre and May replacing Turuva?
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    Post by Welshy Fri Jan 05, 2024 9:32 pm

    What's the talk on Lane on having one good season?

    His average playing 60+ minutes is 48. Since 2015

    If you want to make the scoring more up to date, since 2021, in games he played over 50 minutes for the Eels he averages....48

    Injury plagued 23' season, and priced at 36? Heaps of value there
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    Post by mattnz Fri Jan 05, 2024 9:37 pm

    Welshy wrote:What's the talk on Lane on having one good season?

    His average playing 60+ minutes is 48. Since 2015

    If you want to make the scoring more up to date, since 2021, in games he played over 50 minutes for the Eels he averages....48

    Injury plagued 23' season, and priced at 36? Heaps of value there

    Lane averaged 35, priced at 41.

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