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    NRL Fantasy 2024 Part 6 - The only time I make a thread this year

    King Assassin
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    Post by King Assassin Thu Feb 29, 2024 5:01 pm

    lukeayee wrote:You can have Nanai for nearly the same price as Smithy.

    Seems silly to me.

    What doesn't seem silly is have Tolo, Cotter and Nanai up front. Crazy enough to work huh?

    Id be going Luki over Nanai.
    lukeayee
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    Post by lukeayee Thu Feb 29, 2024 5:03 pm

    King Assassin wrote:

    Id be going Luki over Nanai.

    Luki seems unlikely to play 80 still. Great player I agree.

    Nanai seems the more likely of the two to get 80 mins.
    Eaglestar
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    Post by Eaglestar Thu Feb 29, 2024 5:03 pm

    I believe Luki is in for a big year. Now Leilua gone
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    Post by Shady2K Thu Feb 29, 2024 5:08 pm

    King Assassin wrote:

    Id be going Luki over Nanai.

    I read his statement more as ‘why get Smithies’
    WT Winfield
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    Post by WT Winfield Thu Feb 29, 2024 5:08 pm

    lukeayee wrote:

    Luki seems unlikely to play 80 still. Great player I agree.

    Nanai seems the more likely of the two to get 80 mins.

    and score 4 points above where he's priced at 550k? Luki probably matches or goes higher at 498k. Blore even more tempting than both.

    Definite Nonai from me.
    lukeayee
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    Post by lukeayee Thu Feb 29, 2024 5:09 pm

    Eaglestar wrote:I believe Luki is in for a big year. Now Leilua gone

    Keeps breaking though. Doesn't get the minutes, hasn't since he hit the scene.

    End of last year - 34, 49, 31, 25,59,28 was his minutes.
    lukeayee
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    Post by lukeayee Thu Feb 29, 2024 5:10 pm

    Shady2K wrote:

    I read his statement more as ‘why get Smithies’

    yes exactly, Smithy doesn't seem like value to me.

    WT Winfield wrote:

    and score 4 points above where he's priced at 550k? Luki probably matches or goes higher at 498k. Blore even more tempting than both.

    Definite Nonai from me.

    Yes, my point was Smithy, Nanai, Luki are all likely no better value than the other.
    Loomer
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    Post by Loomer Thu Feb 29, 2024 5:10 pm

    Milchcow wrote:


    It almost makes Blake Taaffe and his $330k look like a stellar option (and I would rather have Taffe than Arthars)


    Lots of chatter that Taffe won't make the 17
    King Assassin
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    Post by King Assassin Thu Feb 29, 2024 5:12 pm

    lukeayee wrote:

    Luki seems unlikely to play 80 still. Great player I agree.

    Nanai seems the more likely of the two to get 80 mins.

    Nanai is priced at what he scores. Luki wont play 80 you're right. Probably 60-65. But that's all he needs 55 avg in over 60 minute games. if he doesn't get 60 minutes, still a 41 avg in 50-60 minute games and is priced at 36, theres plenty of value. Nanai Avg is 42 in 75 minutes as a starter. Priced at 40. Theres no upside.
    OB
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    Post by OB Thu Feb 29, 2024 5:17 pm

    lukeayee wrote:

    Keeps breaking though. Doesn't get the minutes, hasn't since he hit the scene.

    End of last year - 34, 49, 31, 25,59,28 was his minutes.

    That was when Lucy was there - he has only entered conversation since he became first choice EDG. I see a minimum 55 - 60min role with Lucy gone. Easily 10+ points of value at 0.8 ppm. Nanai is only at 0.57ppm.

    Edit: What King Assassin said.


    Last edited by Obbeats on Thu Feb 29, 2024 5:18 pm; edited 1 time in total
    King Assassin
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    Post by King Assassin Thu Feb 29, 2024 5:18 pm

    Shady2K wrote:

    I read his statement more as ‘why get Smithies’

    Yes that's how I read it. Used Nanai as a comparison. When Luki is cheaper, and will avg more. Just dont want to see a fellow fannatic get stuck with a dud with no value lol!
    The Dolphin Conspiracies
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    Post by The Dolphin Conspiracies Thu Feb 29, 2024 5:18 pm

    Question:

    Does Burton shifting back to HLF mean he is a bit undervalued.

    In the games he started at HLF last year he averaged 52

    at 5/8 he averaged 44

    i just worked out that HUTCHISON is trash.

    With a whole pre-season at HLF is 2024 the breakout year for BURTON?
    OB
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    Post by OB Thu Feb 29, 2024 5:22 pm

    The Dolphin Conspiracies wrote:Question:

    Does Burton shifting back to HLF mean he is a bit undervalued.

    In the games he started at HLF last year he averaged 52

    at 5/8 he averaged 44

    i just worked out that HUTCHISON is trash.

    With a whole pre-season at HLF is 2024 the breakout year for BURTON?

    Who is saying he is 7? Pretty sure Hutcho will be remaining half. Thats the way they lined up for the trial.
    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow Thu Feb 29, 2024 5:22 pm

    lukeayee wrote:
    King Assassin wrote:

    Id be going Luki over Nanai.

    Luki seems unlikely to play 80 still. Great player I agree.

    Nanai seems the more likely of the two to get 80 mins.

    Even in 2022 when he scored a million tries, Nanai didn't average a whole lot more than what he is priced at now. Even if he returns to 2022 scoring paying 40 points for a 45 point player isn't the best use of money.
    What is going to change this year to make him value?


    if you don't like Luki, just avoid them both - plenty of other options in that position
    King Assassin
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    Post by King Assassin Thu Feb 29, 2024 5:23 pm

    The Dolphin Conspiracies wrote:Question:

    Does Burton shifting back to HLF mean he is a bit undervalued.

    In the games he started at HLF last year he averaged 52

    at 5/8 he averaged 44

    i just worked out that HUTCHISON is trash.

    With a whole pre-season at HLF is 2024 the breakout year for BURTON?

    Fair Point. I doubt Hutchison does any kicking outside of the 20m line. So definitely could get back to a 52 avg especially with more attacking weapons outside of him for try assists etc. Is he better value then a Fogarty at the same price tho?
    my tv broke
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    Post by my tv broke Thu Feb 29, 2024 5:23 pm

    The Dolphin Conspiracies wrote:Question:

    Does Burton shifting back to HLF mean he is a bit undervalued.

    In the games he started at HLF last year he averaged 52

    at 5/8 he averaged 44

    i just worked out that HUTCHISON is trash.

    With a whole pre-season at HLF is 2024 the breakout year for BURTON?

    Nothing has really changed for burton. He'll be parked on the left like he always has been

    Whoever plays half out of hutch or sexton will be the stead controlling guy
    lukeayee
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    Post by lukeayee Thu Feb 29, 2024 5:25 pm

    Milchcow wrote:

    Even in 2022 when he scored a million tries, Nanai didn't average a whole lot more than what he is priced at now. Even if he returns to 2022 scoring paying 40 points for a 45 point player isn't the best use of money.
    What is going to change this year to make him value?


    if you don't like Luki, just avoid them both - plenty of other options in that position

    Don't like either.

    Think there is more value in Wong and Piakura in the EDG positions. Thats probably an obvious statement though.

    Even Blore looks more attractive in a better team.
    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow Thu Feb 29, 2024 5:25 pm

    Loomer wrote:
    Milchcow wrote:


    It almost makes Blake Taaffe and his $330k look like a stellar option (and I would rather have Taffe than Arthars)


    Lots of chatter that Taffe won't make the 17

    Is that just from Bulldogs fans who don't want Taaffe there, or from an actual reliable source?


    From a point of view of picking a WFB for 18-21, Gagai locks out this week so have to make a decision on whether to run him or hope someone turns up.
    At the moment. if not cheap option emerges, I am leaning towards playing without WFB cover, and hoping Jayden Campbell comes back by round 4 and the Papenhuyzen bye


    Last edited by Milchcow on Thu Feb 29, 2024 5:25 pm; edited 1 time in total
    King Assassin
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    Post by King Assassin Thu Feb 29, 2024 5:25 pm

    Obbeats wrote:

    Who is saying he is 7? Pretty sure Hutcho will be remaining half. Thats the way they lined up for the trial.

    I dont think hes talking about the number on his back. more the guy next to him, Last year wearing 6 the 7 next to him (dont remember who it was) took kick metre off him. Compared to when he played 7 he took nearly all the kick metres.
    Oz Sport Mad
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    Post by Oz Sport Mad Thu Feb 29, 2024 5:26 pm

    Aardvark wrote:Just some picks I've been contemplating


    Turbo : Had Teddy in there for a fair while but Turbo having a full pre season has me intrigued (also saves a few $). Vegas probably not the best game for a big money FB given the field dimensions but he hasn't got any byes for a while if he can string some games together. Manly could also be a pretty decent attacking team this year if their forwards can get some go ahead...the backline looks pretty clever at full strength.

    Boyd : Flip flopping on Fog or Boyd here as Hutch is a decent fringe first grader (big body, loves a tackle, can kick etc) but I wouldn't mind a solid 45-50 point player as a second half. Fog definitely has more upside but Boyd does add a bit of positional flexibility as it means you can probably ditch the Eels HKR as backup if Brad Arthurs our best laid plans up. Des could add something to the Tits. Bye sucks.

    Liddle : @Little_Jimmy has me taking another look given new coach, stronger pack etc etc. I am not super sold on Lussick but if he gets picked you probably have to go with him. Also had another look at Verrills given Des' work with Croker.

    Smithies : I'm buying into the theory that he maintains good minutes @ lock but probably means I have to downgrade #1 HKR or #2 HLF so risky play

    Simonsson : Talked about him before, looks good at centre and should get the spot


    Edit : FTR I am picking Burbo...my expectations are lowish (not the new Preston) but worth the risk IMO

    I am pretty sure I am going with Verrills and I think you may actually be the first other person I've even heard mention him.

    Clark will be on bench but I think he will play a lot of back row.
    Bye the only downfall obviously.

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