by Milchcow Fri Jan 06, 2017 2:32 pm
mulvy wrote:Been looking into hookers more (no not for filth's fun list
). With some of them changing clubs/roles/benches they may get more minutes (which we can't really know yet), but I thought I would analyse if the increase in minutes is likely to make much difference if they got them. The following is the average of hookers when they play 70+ minutes. (70 just seemed like a good number for some reason).
Luke: Avg 52.4 over 13 games, priced at 48.5 value 3.9
McInnes: Avg 58.6 over 8 games, priced at 50 value 8.6
McCullogh: Avg 51 over 10 games, priced at 45.2 value 5.8
Peats: Avg 49.4 over 7 games, priced at 44.8 value 4.6
Farah: Avg 58.3 over 4 games, priced at 45.9 value 12.4
Then the question is who is most likely to get 70+ minutes each week. Farah would seem to be great value but with the byes and origin would be hard to pick especially with Cook there. Those looking at McInnes might be on the money especially if Mcrone plays half.
Thoughts?
I agree that Farah is risky. Even if he plays big minutes (which is certainly a possibility, despite Cook's presence) his byes are terrible for origin and he's a definite trade out at some point.
Bad origin byes are OK for a certified gun, but not a good idea for a risky pick with potential for downside.
I think there are arguments that can be made in favour of all the others. Depends on a few things like bench composition and pre-season form/injuries.
McInnes is the one that interests me most at this point of time, but lots can happen in the next 2 months to change my mind. I'm certainly not getting attached to anyone right now.