2018 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 61

zorasdomain wrote:
Are you trying to tell me that last night's game was worth watching if not for fantasy scores?

I'd answer that but I was too busy doing anything else to watch those trainwrecks.

zorasdomain wrote:
The guy in first is feeling a lot of pressure to do it this week, though, with Holland on the bench and Ponga sitting below him Feel like at this stage I'm silly not to do it knowing everyone else will be.

I would take Holland's score, he's a part of your team isn't he? You brought him in for a purpose, better put that investment to use. (even so Mbye, RTS, and Teddy might all outscore him)

wolfking wrote:Who should sit out for Holland?

SJ, ARey, Aitken, Marsters, Teddy, MBye or Mitchell?

Im thinking MBye or Marsters.

Im struggling with this. Who are people benching for Holland?

If I had Holland I'd be benching Mitchell probably. Not sure if that helps options

wolfking wrote:

Im struggling with this. Who are people benching for Holland?

I'd say Mitchell normally but I think the Tigers get smashed tomorrow so Mbye gets my vote.

my tv broke wrote:

Because the nrl gets a cut from the gambling companies.

Promoting fantasy is a cost that they have a hard time quantifying the value of. And its more of a long game. Ie most of us know that fantasy players watch more football, and in time, spend more money on the nrl, but that is hard to quantify on a pretty chart

Oh definitely why the fuck would they want to grow the game. Greenberg has shown he is trying everything in his power to ruin it

I love poolhooping.
I don't even subscribe to the "don't hate the player, hate the game" philosophy- I am very much glad it is part of the mechanics, whether by design or accident.
Any extra facet of the game which allows me to think about Fantasy for a few extra hours and bite my nails whilst I deliberate on decisions is fine by my books. Those choices can just as easily backfire, and for me it strengthens the value of the game by including extra depth to it.
It doesn't make me feel like a cheater in the least, no matter how many people bandy about saying so. In fact, I think those claiming moral high ground by not poolhooping are the biggest bunch of suckers in the business. Why deny yourself the wonderous pleasures of the poolhoop? Poolhoop is love. Poolhoop is life.
/rant

Krump wrote:
I'd say Mitchell normally but I think the Tigers get smashed tomorrow so Mbye gets my vote.

I thought Mitchell but I think he still puts up a decent score. I think Im definitely leaning towards MBye or Marsters

Pookus McFly wrote:I love poolhooping.
I don't even subscribe to the "don't hate the player, hate the game" philosophy- I am very much glad it is part of the mechanics, whether by design or accident.
Any extra facet of the game which allows me to think about Fantasy for a few extra hours and bite my nails whilst I deliberate on decisions is fine by my books. Those choices can just as easily backfire, and for me it strengthens the value of the game by including extra depth to it.
It doesn't make me feel like a cheater in the least, no matter how many people bandy about saying so. In fact, I think those claiming moral high ground by not poolhooping are the biggest bunch of suckers in the business. Why deny yourself the wonderous pleasures of the poolhoop? Poolhoop is love. Poolhoop is life.
/rant

100% agree. Adds more to the game.

I love visualizing the possible permutations. If Aekins came in for DWZ I've already thought ahead. 

As you said there's inherent risk. It can backfire. Lot of posts seem to make out that you're always winning but often it's just playing the percentages and hoping they pay off

Hoping for a raiders win tonight. Cotric and rapana to go Bananas.

wolfking wrote:

Could be worth a punt, but was last week an anomoly?  I guess that's the punt.  I don't have him so I haven't paid attention to him at all while watching.  46 a pretty safe score though.

When I think about it 46 is pretty safe plus Fainu wont get 1 TA, 1 LB, 3 TB, 3 OL and 45 tackles every week.

Although if Clifford is named to start before the Knights game tomorrow (as i will have to swap Ponga around) i am tempted to take the punt as these Debutantes have been putting up 50+ scores this year.

Looks like Sam Thaiday is goal kicking tonight!

Big Sammy:

(I'm not serious about him goal kicking tonight. But it does show that a pic of someone goalkicking at training can mean absolutely nothing ).

wolfking wrote:

Im struggling with this. Who are people benching for Holland?

There's not really much between Aitken, Marsters and Mitchell.

stats suggest it'd be Marsters or Mitchell to leave out but it's very close.

Player, 54+ scores, average, range

Marsters - 3/17, 41, 22-68
Mitchell - 3/15, 39, 23-61
Aitken - 3/17, 42, 22-70

SJ, ARey and Teddy shouldn't even come into the equation.

Mbye - 4/16, 44, -1-101

SI wrote:

I could understand if it was Coriander, that spectacular species of shit does not deserve a place in our World, but Lavender is a pretty weird hate/phobia.

Out of all the things on the planet to be allergic to I'm allergic to lavender. Not to the point of death but if I smell it, it'll be like a slow death from sneezing

StormTrooper96 wrote:

Although if Clifford is named to start before the Knights game tomorrow (as i will have to swap Ponga around) i am tempted to take the punt as these Debutantes have been putting up 50+ scores this year.

I think this is inverse gambler's fallacy

Mitchell or Isaako? 

*not a loophole

StuDogg101 wrote:

Out of all the things on the planet to be allergic to I'm allergic to lavender. Not to the point of death but if I smell it, it'll be like a slow death from sneezing

I'm not that bad, I just thinking its overpowering and smells horrid.

Had a week about 3 years ago now where I skydived, got locked in a coffin and stood in the middle some lavender patches.
The lavender was the only thing I was hesitant about.

If you haven't skydived, I recommend it to anyone and everyone. I probably wouldn't go out of my way to do it again but it's like nothing else that I've ever experienced.

filthridden wrote:

There's not really much between Aitken, Marsters and Mitchell.

stats suggest it'd be Marsters or Mitchell to leave out but it's very close.

Player, 54+ scores, average, range

Marsters - 3/17, 41, 22-68
Mitchell - 3/15, 39, 23-61
Aitken - 3/17, 42, 22-70

SJ, ARey and Teddy shouldn't even come into the equation.

Mbye - 4/16, 44, -1-101

Last 3 last 5 averages are much more relevant. SJ has kicked 150m last 2 and seems to have no problem with Green doing the equal or bulk. This is a big problem

Loomer wrote:

Last 3 last 5 averages are much more relevant. SJ has kicked 150m last 2 and seems to have no problem with Green doing the equal or bulk. This is a big problem

Disagree. SJ rarely kicks a huge amount and the bulk of his points often come from attacking stats.

The two times this season at Mt Smart that he's kicked under 200m (135, 126) he's scored 63 and 57.
He kicked 201m at the start of the season at home and scored 78.

SJ also scores better at home. He's scored below 50 only once from five games at Mt Smart this season and averages 59.
Away from home he averages 44 and has only beaten 50 twice from six games.