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    2019 NRL.com Fantasy thread part 4

    Rapture_NRL
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    Post by Rapture_NRL Thu Feb 07, 2019 9:22 am

    Foran training the house down, ready for his biggest season ever lol he's never really been relevant but I do hope him the best

    https://i.stuff.co.nz/sport/league/110416108/kieran-foran-ready-for-biggest-year-in-nrl-career
    GreenMachine
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    Post by GreenMachine Thu Feb 07, 2019 9:27 am

    multiple.scoregasms wrote:

    Looks like I missed the discussion on this one but still going ahead with my thoughts.

    Aiden Sezer. HLF. $389,000. Priced at 27.2 - Little bit of value as he should pick up a touch of additional kicking. Won't have a monopoly on kick metres as most expect as Hodgson loves a kick to the corner from hooker and Wighton had a decent amount of kick metres in his halves stints. See him scoring around the 30 point mark so not enough value for me.

    BJ Leilua. CTR. $517,000. Priced at 35.2 - I have a tendency to avoid high priced centres to start the year as they almost always cop a few low scores and bring the price down. If I had to take a high priced centre I prefer Croker to BJ as I believe Raiders will target that edge more often with no Rapana to finish opportunities. A full off season working with Hodgson should see a slight improvement in the team as a whole but I see BJ as pretty much get what you pay for.

    Yeah BJ is one of the lists you create which is “easy no”

    Zero bang for buck at those odds. He might hit is BE if he starts on fire but that’s not how to invest half a mil at season start. Paying a touch extra and trying people like Edwards, Drinkwater, Murray... now THAT is how you spend half a mil and change!
    Welshy
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    Post by Welshy Thu Feb 07, 2019 9:31 am

    Foran has been pretty much robbed of his last 3 years due to injuries and ill mental health! Kid was an absolute superstar and one of my favourite players to watch! Decline has been sad but I’m holding hope he stays injury free and rebuilds his career
    Chewie
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    Post by Chewie Thu Feb 07, 2019 9:33 am

    dylan-napa-bares-all-to-prove-it-wasnt-him-depicted-in-latest-lewd-video-on-social-media

    Sometimes to prove your innocence you've got to drop your pants
    GreenMachine
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    Post by GreenMachine Thu Feb 07, 2019 9:33 am

    Hatsy28 wrote:

    I agree he is priced a bit too high to be an insta-lock. But hes very high on my radar. I have been tossing up a halves pairing of Lewis and Munster. I guess wait and see how trials go?

    Nice little differential him mate. Good luck this season battering your mates week in, week out this time! Just remember that the group-think In here is unlikely to be the standard in your own league so build close to the template team and suggestions with your odd little pick of your own and you’ll do just fine!

    Lewis can easily have a better year than Morgan who is popular around these parts. All the best!
    my tv broke
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    Post by my tv broke Thu Feb 07, 2019 9:48 am

    lol

    John Bateman
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    Great start...... Iv just spent 30 mins trying to get in to 61 some woman came and Answered the door at 6:15 in the morning after me kicking it about 10 times asking what was up...........I live at 63
    Pookus McFly
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    Post by Pookus McFly Thu Feb 07, 2019 9:50 am

    Foran is an absolute gun on his day, but one of those players who always fell through the cracks of fantasy, with his subtle touches which set up tries but which cannot be quantified in terms of Fantasy points (though new Supercoach rule changes probably do them some favors). I would never pick him up as a player but have always enjoyed watching him play, even if he is an obvious asshat off the field. Makes everyone around him a better player.

    The problem with the bulldogs pack is its uncertainty. So many second rowers and possible combinations to be made, I don't think anyone can justify picking any forward (except maybe Tolman who seems locked at a starting prop) until we have seen a trial team or two run out, and even then not without confidence until round 1 TLT.

    Martin, RFM, Elliott, Jackson, CHN can all play on an edge. Elliott and Jackson seem the most likely to take the 13, but either would still leave 4 men vying for 2 positions. With Napa's fate still up in the air the FRF is just as much a lottery, and even if he is suspended rumours of RFM in the front row or Sue still abound. You can't even take a guess at the types of minutes in the forward rotation because of the uncertainty of Lichaa/JMK hooker scenerio and rumors of the dogs chasing Segeyaro. This is one team I will avoid until TLT!
    rhinoceroo
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    Post by rhinoceroo Thu Feb 07, 2019 10:09 am

    Also, the odds of the Dogs starting the season well are low, so TLT4 might be a lot different to TLT1.
    Liverpool_Bulldog
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    Post by Liverpool_Bulldog Thu Feb 07, 2019 10:21 am

    my tv broke wrote:lol

    John Bateman
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    Great start...... Iv just spent 30 mins trying to get in to 61 some woman came and Answered the door at 6:15 in the morning after me kicking it about 10 times asking what was up...........I live at 63


    Haha get in my team mate. Kicking in doors translates well to the footy field
    Pookus McFly
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    Post by Pookus McFly Thu Feb 07, 2019 10:35 am

    MY TEAM LOOKS INCREDIBLE!!!!




    as long as Segeyaro finds a club as a starting hooker and Lachlan Burr plays 60 minutes at lock with the Warriors
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    mattnz
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    Post by mattnz Thu Feb 07, 2019 10:51 am

    An interesting read on players to avoid. The only one I disagree on is Matterson who has been in and out of my team drafts. Some of them are players I have seen in draft teams here https://www.sportingnews.com/au/league/list/nrl-supercoach-2019-cheapies-players-to-avoid/o7tb0t6uld3v1tgnvd1c99dkk/10
    Iron Mike
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    Post by Iron Mike Thu Feb 07, 2019 10:55 am

    Please rank the below props in terms of value:

    Tolman, LAM, TWAL, Offa, TPJ. There is a case for having them all, I just can't split them although if TWAL isn't starting lock then he is out of the question.
    Also there is a case for Vaughan being undervalued especially with LAM gone (although only averaged 39 minutes) and potentially JDB.

    There has been mention of Sam Burgess, but I read that he has a knee like GI's so that put me off and now playing on the edge also out of the action. Think he just stays at 45-47 average this year.

    The 13 for the Broncos will probably be the must have out of all them.
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    zaggo1

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    Post by zaggo1 Thu Feb 07, 2019 10:58 am

    mattnz wrote:An interesting read on players to avoid. The only one I disagree on is Matterson who has been in and out of my team drafts. Some of them are players I have seen in draft teams here https://www.sportingnews.com/au/league/list/nrl-supercoach-2019-cheapies-players-to-avoid/o7tb0t6uld3v1tgnvd1c99dkk/10

    It mentions Radley being a mistake to play at hooker, which I'd agree with, but surely isn't a bad shout as a 2RF? From an eye test, he never struck me as a bloke who would need bulk minutes to get a fairly decent points tally.

    It's been said before but I'll say it again, there's way too much mid-level talent this year!
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    Post by Guest Thu Feb 07, 2019 11:00 am

    mattnz wrote:An interesting read on players to avoid. The only one I disagree on is Matterson who has been in and out of my team drafts. Some of them are players I have seen in draft teams here https://www.sportingnews.com/au/league/list/nrl-supercoach-2019-cheapies-players-to-avoid/o7tb0t6uld3v1tgnvd1c99dkk/10

    I'm keeping an eye on Carty. Really want him to go well and have a crack. Lets see
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Thu Feb 07, 2019 11:00 am

    Verbal Kint wrote:

    I'm keeping an eye on Carty. Really want him to go well and have a crack. Lets see

    Could be a good target later on, he's possibly only one injury away from being a gold mine.
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    Post by zaggo1 Thu Feb 07, 2019 11:01 am

    Iron Mike wrote:Please rank the below props in terms of value:

    Tolman, LAM, TWAL, Offa, TPJ. There is a case for having them all, I just can't split them although if TWAL isn't starting lock then he is out of the question.
    Also there is a case for Vaughan being undervalued especially with LAM gone (although only averaged 39 minutes) and potentially JDB.

    For me it would be something like the below:

    TPJ > LAM/Tolman > Offa > Twal

    I like Joffa but just concerned about the depth of the Broncos pack potentially meaning the points are spread thin.
    Tolman drops in value if Napa isn't suspended.
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Thu Feb 07, 2019 11:02 am

    Iron Mike wrote:Please rank the below props in terms of value:

    Tolman, LAM, TWAL, Offa, TPJ. There is a case for having them all, I just can't split them although if TWAL isn't starting lock then he is out of the question.
    Also there is a case for Vaughan being undervalued especially with LAM gone (although only averaged 39 minutes) and potentially JDB.

    There has been mention of Sam Burgess, but I read that he has a knee like GI's so that put me off and now playing on the edge also out of the action. Think he just stays at 45-47 average this year.

    The 13 for the Broncos will probably be the must have out of all them.

    I don't think you'll get a consensus there. There's a decent case for all of those mentioned.
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Thu Feb 07, 2019 11:06 am

    zaggo1 wrote:

    It mentions Radley being a mistake to play at hooker, which I'd agree with, but surely isn't a bad shout as a 2RF? From an eye test, he never struck me as a bloke who would need bulk minutes to get a fairly decent points tally.

    It's been said before but I'll say it again, there's way too much mid-level talent this year!

    He's on my short list. Like you said he passes the eye test. Minutes could well be an issue, if he keeps getting 50 minutes I'm not sure he'll get 50 points. And Robinson seems to share the minutes around his middle men rather than having that big minute lock like some teams. If he got another 10 minutes spelling Friend he would be very tempting which is why I'm looking forward to the WCC.
    L-Jimmy
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    Post by L-Jimmy Thu Feb 07, 2019 11:07 am

    Iron Mike wrote:Please rank the below props in terms of value:

    Tolman, LAM, TWAL, Offa, TPJ. There is a case for having them all, I just can't split them although if TWAL isn't starting lock then he is out of the question.
    Also there is a case for Vaughan being undervalued especially with LAM gone (although only averaged 39 minutes) and potentially JDB.

    There has been mention of Sam Burgess, but I read that he has a knee like GI's so that put me off and now playing on the edge also out of the action. Think he just stays at 45-47 average this year.

    The 13 for the Broncos will probably be the must have out of all them.

    Offa > TPJ > Tolman > Twal > LAM

    Offa is the Bronc's genuine prop, and has good stamina. Close to 50 average for my money
    TPJ will be playing prop/mid, so rated a bit below Offa on the basis of fewer explosive/offload plays than he'd likely make on an edge.
    Tolman = fallen gun. A bit of risk re engine, but few other Dogs props of many minutes.
    Twal could be a gun, but huge ? over minutes. If starting and getting time then goes to the front of the queue. TLT!
    LAM is an awesome player, and should get serious Warriors time. But See that noun there <---- ? Warriors? Yeah. That one. Back of the line, sorry mate.
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    Post by mattnz Thu Feb 07, 2019 11:07 am

    zaggo1 wrote:

    It mentions Radley being a mistake to play at hooker, which I'd agree with, but surely isn't a bad shout as a 2RF? From an eye test, he never struck me as a bloke who would need bulk minutes to get a fairly decent points tally.

    It's been said before but I'll say it again, there's way too much mid-level talent this year!

    Thats this years challenge, lots of mid range value, a few gun/sub gun value players too, but the real challenge is that there are probably another 4 sub $250k players still to be announced that surprise everyone, like there are at TLT every year. That always seems to screw my mid range value strategy, as you can't ignore a guy like Burr if he gets starting lock at $228k. Going to be a mine field selecting the right ones.

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