NRL Fantasy 2019 Part 22

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:So I'll chuck my team up for all to feel better about theres.

Friend
Fifita, Tolman
Arrow, Murray, Gillett
Morgan, Keighran
Bird, Nikora
Teddy, Edwards, Burns

Mahoney, Lawrie, Garner, Capewell
Host, Brown, Sivo, Lawrie

Have brought Bird and Mahoney in for Holland and Morris

Thoughts chaps

You listed Lawrie twice. Solid team, I mean we only have like 5 different players to one another so perhaps that's why I'm inclined to say it's good. I'd say your next trade-in target should be a gun HLF to alleviate having to run the gauntlet with the rookie halves every week.

Johnny B Goode wrote:

You listed Lawrie twice. Solid team, I mean we only have like 5 different players to one another so perhaps that's why I'm inclined to say it's good. I'd say your next trade-in target should be a gun HLF to alleviate having to run the gauntlet with the rookie halves every week.

Cheers mate. Ahhh yes, Rava is in spot 21.

Yeah I feel like I'll need some big cash for that upgrade.

I know it's sc but I read a stat re the Manly. Manly have conceded over 1.2ppm (I assume it's points per minute) to 58th's in the 2 rounds & it said this made Keighran an option for your 17. SC is an attack focused game so it's saying Manly concede a lot of attacking points to 58th's. Even though it's sc it got me thinking since I have to play 1 of Brown or Keighran in my halves this week.

Although if someone said Egan was gonna get 4 weeks I'd probably grab him over Mahoney.
Just feel he has the goods

Camo123 wrote:Taking a conservative approach again with 1 trade of Host to Lawrie (21k ITB after trade)

Cook (c)
Fifita Tolman
Arrow Murray Lane
Morgan Keighran
Bird Nikora
Tedesco Burns CNK

Mahoney Whitehead Garner Lawrie
Brown Garrick Ravalawa Sivo

Foregoing Surgess for now which could come back to bite me but giving Tolman a week to see how minutes are with new bench and then may change to Twal/McLean/TPJ

Good moves, no need to waste trades when there's nothing urgent to deal with. All 3 of the rookie wingers are slow burners at the moment but until a better option comes along, just got to hope they start bagging some tries.

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:So I'll chuck my team up for all to feel better about theres.

Friend
Fifita, Tolman
Arrow, Murray, Gillett
Morgan, Keighran
Bird, Nikora
Teddy, Edwards, Burns

Mahoney, Lawrie, Garner, Capewell
Host, Brown, Sivo, Lawrie

Have brought Bird and Mahoney in for Holland and Morris

Thoughts chaps

Similar team to mine. Looks solid, like both trades. How much cash do you have left?

Reklaw wrote:

Similar team to mine. Looks solid, like both trades. How much cash do you have left?

10k or something like that

White Lightning wrote:I know it's sc but I read a stat re the Manly. Manly have conceded over 1.2ppm (I assume it's points per minute) to 58th's in the 2 rounds & it said this made Keighran an option for your 17. SC is an attack focused game so it's saying Manly concede a lot of attacking points to 58th's. Even though it's sc it got me thinking since I have to play 1 of Brown or Keighran in my halves this week.

Roosters played 2 different 5/8ths against Manly

Did whoever calculate that stat accurately split the points scored by whoever was 5/8th at the time.

Also, I wouldn't use 2 games as a good stats to deciding what positions score well against what teams

Otherwise you'd have Parra as conceding tonnes of points to props, just because Tamou and Napa scored against them in the first 2 weeks. I wouldn't bank on that being a trend.

White Lightning wrote:I know it's sc but I read a stat re the Manly. Manly have conceded over 1.2ppm (I assume it's points per minute) to 58th's in the 2 rounds & it said this made Keighran an option for your 17. SC is an attack focused game so it's saying Manly concede a lot of attacking points to 58th's. Even though it's sc it got me thinking since I have to play 1 of Brown or Keighran in my halves this week.

I dunno how much stock you can put in that with the sample size especially since keary went huge last week.

Thoughts on my trades? I've got a few options here:

A: Host to Lawrie, Capewell to Flegler - Gives me an option on who to play in FRF every week but have to lose Capewell for it.

B: Host to Flegler, Capewell to J Bird - Better cash generation but would have to play Flegler every week.

C: Host to Lawrie, Morgan to J Bird - Best cash generation but would have to play Keighran and DBrown every week instead of just one Actually I don't have to, I can put Bird on the bench and move AK to start.

D: No trades. - Saves me trades but means I have to play Host every week and miss out on Jack Bird

PS: I'm 5k short of Host to Lawrie and Capewell to Bird, if I could afford that I'd be doing it.

My team: $25k ITB

Cook
Host, Fifita
Arrow, Murray, Lane
Morgan, Munster
Bateman, Nikora
Burns, CNK, Edwards

Mahoney, Capewell, Garner, Keighran

DBrown, Sivo, Rava, Garrick.

If lafai is ruled out..might take a nibble on Broncos 13+

Here's a stat about Manly I factor in. Their team kind of sucks this year.

Good enough reason for me to consider a player might go well against them. Tommy T coming back vastly improves their backline and AFB improves their forward pack though.

Bethany_B wrote:Thoughts on my trades? I've got a few options here:

A: Host to Lawrie, Capewell to Flegler - Gives me an option on who to play in FRF every week but have to lose Capewell for it.

B: Host to Flegler, Capewell to J Bird - Better cash generation but would have to play Flegler every week.

C: Host to Lawrie, Morgan to J Bird - Best cash generation but would have to play Keighran and DBrown every week instead of just one.

D: No trades. - Saves me trades but means I have to play Host every week and miss out on Jack Bird

PS: I'm 5k short of Host to Lawrie and Capewell to Bird, if I could afford that I'd be doing it.

My team: $25k ITB

Cook
Host, Fifita
Arrow, Murray, Lane
Morgan, Munster
Bateman, Nikora
Burns, CNK, Edwards

Mahoney, Capewell, Garner, Keighran

DBrown, Sivo, Rava, Garrick.

Of those options I'd be going B. Capewell has more cash to make and should be a solid 35+ scorer but he's surplus to requirements with the CTR pairing you have who can already cover the 2RF like he can.

You've really put yourself into a tough spot in the FRF to have Host as one of your only two options. Lawrie should at least nab consistent 40's and generate some decent cash as you work to get a gun FRF in.

Johnny B Goode wrote:

Of those options I'd be going B. Capewell has more cash to make and should be a solid 35+ scorer but he's surplus to requirements with the CTR pairing you have who can already cover the 2RF like he can.  

You've really put yourself into a tough spot in the FRF to have Host as one of your only two options. Lawrie should at least nab consistent 40's and generate some decent cash as you work to get a gun FRF in.

Yeah I made a big mistake last week selling Twal to get Bateman in and selling Tatola for Host. While Bateman is a must-have and probable end of year keeper, having Twal would be very handy ATM. I just remembered that I could in fact only play one of AK and Brown even with option C and I think Capewell makes more $ than Morgan, especially with Clifford there to steal his kick metres. I think Capewell/Lawrie is better than Morgan/Flegler. I think I'll go option C

We actually have no statistical data to be able to compare how Morgan will perform alongside Clifford. If anything Clifford will provide more balance through the park and Morgan might have a chance to implement his running game a little more. In the first two games morgans kicks have fluctuated between 474km and 287km. Clifford kicked for an average of 147 metres last year, discounting what seems to be an outlier when he kicked 236 metres he averages around 130. This is still not too damning towards Morgans kick metres which i think will still provide him 25-30 points a game. Clifford might not allow Morgan to reach Keeper or Gun status but we actually dont have any history to go off of. He is at least a wait and see for anyone thinking of selling him.

StormTrooper96 wrote:We actually have no statistical data to be able to compare how Morgan will perform alongside Clifford. If anything Clifford will provide more balance through the park and Morgan might have a chance to implement his running game a little more. In the first two games morgans kicks have fluctuated between 474km and 287km. Clifford kicked for an average of 147 metres last year, discounting what seems to be an outlier when he kicked 236 metres he averages around 130. This is still not too damning towards Morgans kick metres which i think will still provide him 25-30 points a game. Clifford might not allow Morgan to reach Keeper or Gun status but we actually dont have any history to go off of. He is at least a wait and see for anyone thinking of selling him.

I know Morgan is probably not a sell but I think the difference between having Flegler and Lawrie makes up having Capewell over Morgan. It's the only way I can get both Lawrie and Bird. If I had 5k more I could do Capewell for Bird and Host for Lawrie, but obviously can't.

Wooohooo first time i've caught up on this forum since the start of round 1....jesus its hard to keep up with you lot.

My team is cookie cutter af.
1 trade so far this week Holland > Bird
Not convinced its a good trade but i cant see holland outscoring bird to be honest

Anyone see a move i should be making?

Macca
Fifi (c) Tolman
Murray Arrow Gillett
Morgan Dbrown
Bird Nikora
Dedwards CNK Burns

Mahoney Matterson Garner Capewell

Keighran Sivo Rava Garrick

204k itb

Now i look at it im not all that happy with my cow options

Stuffness wrote:Wooohooo first time i've caught up on this forum since the start of round 1....jesus its hard to keep up with you lot.

My team is cookie cutter af.
1 trade so far this week Holland > Bird
Not convinced its a good trade but i cant see holland outscoring bird to be honest

Anyone see a move i should be making?

Macca
Fifi (c) Tolman
Murray Arrow Gillett
Morgan Dbrown
Bird Nikora
Dedwards CNK Burns

Mahoney Matterson Garner Capewell

Keighran Sivo Rava Garrick

204k itb

Now i look at it im not all that happy with my cow options

You need to post more often even if you can't keep up, I was getting avatar withdrawals. I wouldn't be overly stressed about your cows, it's been a lean couple of weeks and all it takes is one good score and they'll be on the up.

Against all logic and sense I am actually considering a backwards trade.
Tolman to Napa gives me 200k with Napa to rise another 100k over the next 2 weeks.
Gives me the cash to do Edwards to Teddy next week without making any downgrades.
I think Napa should find 35-40 points, but only see ~45s for Tolman anyway since I was really banking on him finding 60 mins.

Goes against almost every instinct I have as a fantasy player, but I am trying to be more lackadaisical this season rather than stewing on every decision. This season is my Carpe Diem year (or YOLO for you idiots). Just going to be pulling triggers without thought like a daft madman. Secret to fantasy success!