DFS 2020

Few people chatting in the main thread so will start a new thread about it

Draftstars running a $40k event for Broncos Roosters tonight
You only have to finish in the top 782 to make money, over $5k first prize. I'll be having a few teams in there for sure

Thanks Milchy, I'll have a look

No teddy makes getting teams way easier

I've thrown in 6 teams. Good luck all!

Shanbon wrote:No teddy makes getting teams way easier

i had a play earlier and you couldn't really have Teddy + Haas, so I guess Haas becomes a lot more common now

Brisbane having no hookers makes it a little tough as well. Friend or Radley only real choices there

Milchcow wrote:

i had a play earlier and you couldn't really have Teddy + Haas, so I guess Haas becomes a lot more common now

Brisbane having no hookers makes it a little tough as well. Friend or Radley only real choices there

Yeah it made it easier to fit players in but also meant too many choices now available lol

On preliminary results, spent $163 won $167

Time to retire and live off the winnings

Milchcow wrote:
On preliminary results, spent $163 won $167

Time to retire and live off the winnings

I'll join you. I spent $90 and won $95

Entered around 5-10 teams every game/slate and down quite a bit. Seem to be getting some good results but with the top ranks weighted so heavily it's been a tough grind.

How does everyone structure their teams? I've been trying to go with edge combinations from teams and seeing which middle players should get more minutes if their pack has injuries etc

Had a look at my stats for the year so far. Made about $1000 profit in the 3 weeks since return, but that is entirely on 2 results (a 1st and a 3rd in big contests)
Without those I am actually down about $200. So can't really quit my day job to do this, but as long as i can jag a top result every now and then its at least a self funding hobby.

Had a good result on Dogs Roosters though. Spent $121, won $121.19
Don't spend all the profits in one shop

Milchcow wrote:
Had a look at my stats for the year so far. Made about $1000 profit in the 3 weeks since return, but that is entirely on 2 results (a 1st and a 3rd in big contests)
Without those I am actually down about $200.  So can't really quit my day job to do this, but as long as i can jag a top result every now and then its at least a self funding hobby.


Had a good result on Dogs Roosters though. Spent $121, won $121.19
Don't spend all the profits in one shop

Wow good work! Have done pretty poorly but am hoping as the season goes on results and scores become more predictable and I can improve. Any thoughts on approaches to nrl dfs? I've been using minutes and expected scores and trying to use backs from the same team as they're correlated.

Like you said before, working combinations is good.
I stuffed up on the Knights/Storm game the other day, because I had Ponga and Best across my teams but always individually never actually put them in a combo, which is a poor oversight from my part.
Making sure your teams follow a game script is generally how its phrased. So if Player A benefits from player B doing well, get them both, and reconsider tackle bot hookers if you are expecting their team to win big.

Normally I work on at least 3 teams. One for each team winning, and a 3rd which is based on a close game or just ignoring matchups and just going on who might score highly.

Whilst I avoid POD talk in overall comps, its crucial in DFS
If you think everyone is going to be on a certain player, have at least one team without them, so that if they fail you can get a big jump. the more teams you enter the more viable this strategy is.
eg for Roosters Dogs it was a calculated risk to have a team without Teddy. In this case no teddy meant you lost, but if he'd had a quiet game, a team without him suddenly has a massive jump on the majority. if you only enter 1-2 teams probably best to keep players like that in.
Also if you think you have a good POD, go for it. I got 3rd in the Cowboys/Warriors game the other day by getting 10% owned Peta Hiku's hattrick. What cost me top spot was ditching Molo when he went from starting to the bench - low ownership and killed it.
Note you can't see ownership when picking a team so its a bit of gut feel as to who will be popular.

I won 70 odd bucks on the Roosters game. Was close to being much higher if pod CCrichton had scored that try.

I'll put a couple of teams in tonight. Will play edge combos and hope for some luck

Haven't figured out DS properly. My MB system I had was bringing in the cash.

Milchcow wrote:
Like you said before, working combinations is good.
I stuffed up on the Knights/Storm game the other day, because I had Ponga and Best across my teams but always individually never actually put them in a combo, which is a poor oversight from my part.
Making sure your teams follow a game script is generally how its phrased. So if Player A benefits from player B doing well, get them both, and reconsider tackle bot hookers if you are expecting their team to win big.

Normally I work on at least 3 teams. One for each team winning, and a 3rd which is based on a close game or just ignoring matchups and just going on who might score highly.

Whilst I avoid POD talk in overall comps, its crucial in DFS
If you think everyone is going to be on a certain player, have at least one team without them, so that if they fail you can get a big jump. the more teams you enter the more viable this strategy is.
eg for Roosters Dogs it was a calculated risk to have a team without Teddy. In this case no teddy meant you lost, but if he'd had a quiet game, a team without him suddenly has a massive jump on the majority. if you only enter 1-2 teams probably best to keep players like that in.
Also if you think you have a good POD, go for it. I got 3rd in the Cowboys/Warriors game the other day by getting 10% owned Peta Hiku's hattrick. What cost me top spot was ditching Molo when he went from starting to the bench - low ownership and killed it.
Note you can't see ownership when picking a team so its a bit of gut feel as to who will be popular.

This is absolutely excellent. Cheers mate. Feel like I've been getting most things right but the results haven't quite showed yet. Enjoying the ride though!

The point around sticking with your guns on PODs is something I definitely agree with. Will consider guys on the bench more if I think they'll get decent mins.

Thanks to fairly poddy Pearce, I'm up one dollar this evening

I was cruising in the top 20 tonight. Until Mann and Haas went off and Pearce turned into superman and ended up with diddlysquat.

I always play the 15 dollar games but I had a bad Saturday last week so decided to play the 2 dollar ones at night. Came 2nd in the showdown game and cost myself about 1k for being a cheap Kent.

WT2K wrote:Haven't figured out DS properly. My MB system I had was bringing in the cash.

What was your system in MB?
I could never win big there, seemed to be mostly about jagging the try scorer+assister

If your backs weren't in the tries you were done

Had a punt on this last night. Didn't finish in the money but went close. Rank 303 with 404pts being about 4 pts short of the money with a fairly balanced team and rank 537 with a knights heavy team (had Best which ended up not going big).

Will likely put in ones for the games tonight too but will do some more prior analysis to try and fit in a better team.

Does anyone have the 'in the money' scores for the other comps for the games last night as it'll be interesting to see which had the lowest score to be in the money.

Milchcow wrote:

What was your system in MB?
I could never win big there, seemed to be mostly about jagging the try scorer+assister

If your backs weren't in the tries you were done

Hooker, Halves and Fullback from same team locked in. You can cover each team if you want, I usually do, unless it's a game like Storm vs Titans. Like this round, I would cover both Raiders and Manly.

Then, pick the centre and winger that play on same side. Pair them with each half.

Forwards, can pick anyone who fits within remaining cap. I get a mixture of both teams forwards with the example below.

       Example

       CS9 + Munster + JAC + Centre + Pappy
       CS9 + Hughes + JAC + centre + Pappy
       CS9 + Munster + Vuni + centre + Pappy
       CS9 + Hughes + Vuni + centre + Pappy