2018 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 20

my tv broke wrote:
 

Dont know what youre on about. He has consistently done fuck all so far this season, but still returned just passable scores (with the help of goal kicking)

For him to stay in my team he will need to post 40+ scores for the next two weeks. Warriors and sharks. If he doesn’t score 40+ in those games, he is later Mitchell!!

My team sucks thinking about McInnes>Murray any good trades to fix this terrible team

Pookus McFly wrote:Despite his low B/E, I think I will need to watch Alvaro another week.
He is just too hard to work out.

25 tackles in 38 mins week one.
45 tackles in 55 mins week two, coming off the bench.
52 tackles in 42 mins week three

Priced at 42, not much value if he scores similarly to the first two weeks.
One of the most underpriced guns going if he replicates his last game more often.

0_o

I said this a few days ago-I had him in my Draft team last year and was pissed every time he was named to start, NOT on the bench. Just one of those few players that score better on average from the bench.

Pookus McFly wrote:Despite his low B/E, I think I will need to watch Alvaro another week.
He is just too hard to work out.

25 tackles in 38 mins week one.
45 tackles in 55 mins week two, coming off the bench.
52 tackles in 42 mins week three

Priced at 42, not much value if he scores similarly to the first two weeks.
One of the most underpriced guns going if he replicates his last game more often.

0_o

I really want to bring in Alvaro, but I just can't with those minutes. Parra usually have a strong forwards bench and with Mau, Moeroa and Brown usually playing big minutes they're is not enough minutes for Alvaro so I can see a few games where Alvaro only gets abt 40 mins to score low 30's............

Boozecluez wrote:

He 'plays injured' but if he bangs out a 50 who cares if he stays down for a bit or limps haha.
He really doesn't miss a huge amount of games these days to be fair

Yeah I tried to look up how many games he's played the last few seasons, then realised stats centre is a POS.

Thanks to wikipedia, games for the season:

2017 - 17
2016 - 17
2015 - 22
2014 - 18
2013 - 10
2012 - 17

and so on.. I'd avoid.

WT Winfield wrote:

Yeah I tried to look up how many games he's played the last few seasons, then realised stats centre is a POS.

Thanks to wikipedia, games for the season:

2017 - 17
2016 - 17
2015 - 22
2014 - 18
2013 - 10
2012 - 17

and so on.. I'd avoid.

Not as shocking as you would think, averaging 18 games last 4 years plus missing games for origin

does it include games where he started but left injured?

My team is fucked. Might trade in Fergo and Duges and start drinking some breezers on the roof.

Pacey's Best wrote:

I really want to bring in Alvaro, but I just can't with those minutes. .

I love this reasoning. Alvaro is scoring really well, but he is scoring too quickly for you to care about. Better to get someone who acquires his points slowly. The anti-PPM choice

Dugan is a 45-50 point scorer at fullback, priced at 35.

BE of 36, its a good time to bring him in if you are keen.

Anyone else think Mbye was rather fortunate to have Panthers missing their tackles for no reason? Seemed to always be guys in front of him and they just fell off.

https://www.nrl.com/news/2018/03/23/bulldogs-stave-off-panthers-to-notch-first-win/

First try was the infamous Maloney taken out by the blocking player that was still awarded a try.

2nd try, 2 players should have tackled him at the same time, but somehow bounced off without Mbye doing anything special.

Scored him lots of points with multiple tackle breaks, 2 line breaks and 2 tries in these 2 plays, but in reality shouldn't have got anything for them.

Double trading for the 3rd week in a row
Nicholls --> Rochow
Carty --> TMK

Feel these are sound moves? Would then have 'most' the cows and barring injuries can hold tight for at least a few weeks (heres hoping).

Moose wrote:My team is fucked. Might trade in Fergo and Duges and start drinking some breezers on the roof.

I might trade in Cheech & Chong & start having some sessions on the roof.

Milchcow wrote:

I love this reasoning. Alvaro is scoring really well, but he is scoring too quickly for you to care about. Better to get someone who acquires his points slowly. The anti-PPM choice

That's not what he is trying to say though is it?
Inconsistent minutes are a killer, whenever someone has more time on the park, there is extra chances for a better scoring output

Sometimes all the play goes down the middle so smaller minutes for a guy like Alvaro might not matter because he can rack up base stats, but the week later in limited minutes penalites and the ball getting moved the edges limits his involvement so he scores poorly

At least with consistent larger minutes those spells above, don't produce spud scores because he has an extra 10 minutes to get some points on the board

Haha some players score better in small minutes then start to lose points the longer they stay out tired.
As long as they get 40 minutes consistently then you can rely on them.
It’s the 15 min, 35 min, 10min, 60min players that kill you

Classic example is TPJ or NAS last year and now this year

Welshy wrote:
Not as shocking as you would think, averaging 18 games last 4 years plus missing games for origin

does it include games where he started but left injured?

It was worse than I thought haha. Those numbers would be all games started, including games left injured and probably some finals games. He missed a game last year because he was late to the bus and missed some origins due to injury.

mattnz wrote:Anyone else think Mbye was rather fortunate to have Panthers missing their tackles for no reason? Seemed to always be guys in front of him and they just fell off.

https://www.nrl.com/news/2018/03/23/bulldogs-stave-off-panthers-to-notch-first-win/

First try was the infamous Maloney taken out by the blocking player that was still awarded a try.

2nd try, 2 players should have tackled him at the same time, but somehow bounced off without Mbye doing anything special.

Scored him lots of points with multiple tackle breaks, 2 line breaks and 2 tries in these 2 plays, but in reality shouldn't have got anything for them.

He scored 41 & 45 in the previous 2 rounds which is a more accurate gauge on his scoring.

White Lightning wrote:

He scored 41 & 45 in the previous 2 rounds which is a more accurate gauge on his scoring.

Yes that is how I am justifying not getting him in.

WT Winfield wrote:

It was worse than I thought haha. Those numbers would be all games started, including games left injured and probably some finals games. He missed a game last year because he was late to the bus and missed some origins due to injury.

Purely comes down to time on the park for Dugan, if he remains out there at fullback he should average considerably more than his current price, but is injury history can and should play the largest part in whether anyone takes the plunge with him

On a week to week basis, minutes played are not necessarily a useful gauge of anything.

In a 15 minute stint, someone could have 7 defensive sets or 2, depending on how many penalties, tries, errors happen in that part of the game.
And many players don't benefit from longer game time. Nathan Brown is a good example, his 60 minute scores are pretty much the same as his 80 minute scores.

Nrl4Life wrote:

My team sucks thinking about McInnes>Murray any good trades to fix this terrible team

Half your starting 13 were Guns last year mate It could be killing it very soon.

I like the trade, with your 500k bank that gets you close to 700k and potentially the same points.

Let Iapalli rot there for loophole purposes.

If you are feeling brave you could upgrade Carty to Matterson and still have 450 odd k in the bank for next week. It's a risk with Matterson but the rewards are good if he continues to start. If you want to hold Carty then maybe upgrade Sao, still leaves you close to 400k next week (if my maths is right).

You could also fuck Nicholls off instead as will need injuries to start again you'd think, just eats even further into your bank is all.