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    NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 4 - Leniu is back on the menu

    Chewie
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    Post by Chewie Fri Mar 04, 2022 10:54 am

    easytiger wrote:

    I find myself conflicted between an urge to unravel a mystery and a general disinterest and contempt for Alts.
    Anyway,

    The quoted post above was made when it was Welshy's turn to pick in NRL FF Draft League 1.
    His previous draft pick was Keary.
    I don't see how anyone outside of L1 would know that. Hence, the Alt is in L1.

    NRL FF Draft League 1 members suspects:

    EasyTiger - It's not me

    Jstevens269 - American, doesn't fit the timezones and would post more if he wanted to post more

    wolfking - Too busy for that shit

    Welshy - I think I'd love a Welshy Alt - tell us what you really think Welshy Very Happy  - i.e. it's not him

    Cantbeatwinners - Doesn't fit the posting times/pattern, and doesn't seem the type for such indulgences - it's not him

    That leaves a villainous 5:

    Jele - Seems too much of a stand-up guy to waste his time on Alting... 10-1

    Mulvy - Dolphin likes to back up arguments with facts, but then some are more like pseudo-facts with a degree of confirmation bias. It could be Mulvy, but if it is, I think it's likely a split personality and even Mulvy doesn't know he's the dolphin. 8-1

    B/L - Ran the survivor hive of villainy, lies and deception. The above post appears to pay Welshy a compliment though, so seems unlikely... 6-1

    sajjos - Doesn't post that much to be driven to add in an alt. But is very good at reminding people when it's their turn in draft... 4-1

    robelgordo - An active poster - has he been a bit more quiet lately? Doesn't need to go with the masses and can be drawn in to a "good" POD. Keep a close eye on this one - I'd suggest not letting them near a rope, revolver, dagger, lead pipe, candlestick etc 2-1

    pookus - not in the DL1 - but likes to be included in any villainy mentions... 1000-1

    Lol
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    Post by easytiger Fri Mar 04, 2022 10:59 am

    L-Jimmy wrote:Oh good, Teddy also confirmed as dishonest jackass. Excellent.

    https://twitter.com/sarah_keoghan/status/1499318257324421120?s=20&t=axG5M807zcA9QWto269SfQ

    filthridden wrote:racist dishonest jackass at that.

    At the risk of sounding like a jilted-Tigers fan (yes, I am it's true, Teddy was my favourite player as a kid... okay not a kid, but in my 30's)

    “I was obviously disappointed but happy with how I approached it all, and I’m happy how it was all sort of settled. It was more about owning up to that and taking responsibility."

    Seems like it took a long time for him to own up to it? wasn't, hardly like he came out straight away and said yeah, I was a drunk racist prick

    “I know I’m a great role model"

    This one intrigues me - on what basis?
    He's a great role model for how to play Fullback

    But outside of that?
    I mean, I know he doesn't swear on TV, he has never been accused of striking his partner, and has never used/been caught using unknown white substances
    Is the level of being a great role model in League what you don't do?

    I've seen plenty of stories about CNK - that guy looks like a great role model. I haven't seen any about Teddy?

    e.g.
    https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/sport/2019/07/nrl-2019-charnze-nicoll-klokstad-s-touching-gesture-for-sick-canberra-raiders-fan.html
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    Post by Chewie Fri Mar 04, 2022 11:02 am

    Milchcow wrote:
    I am leaning towards Aitken over Burton now

    I think Burton will lose more in attacking stats than he gains in kicking. Might still be value

    Assuming Aitken gets named at edge this week, i think he'l be safe there at least until Tohu returns, and seems to have well over 40 points a week just in tackles and run metres. Doesn't need to replicate his try scoring heroics from last year in order to provide value. Just needs to match the workrate, and anything on top is a bonus

    If Aitken is a sell when Tohu returns then plan would be a nice transition to Burton (who I think will still be one of the top scoring CTRs - just doesn't provide as much value for his price)


    Yeah I've warmed up to Aitken too. seems to be the better option out of the "500k" mid rangers (Mann, Sloan, Bird, Cotter. Martin, Capewell, Fermor)
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    Post by Milchcow Fri Mar 04, 2022 11:08 am


    Teddy's quotes there sound like they were written by a PR person. Any correlation between those words and his actual feelings is entirely coincidental.
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    Post by Bethany_B Fri Mar 04, 2022 11:10 am

    Chewie wrote:

    Yeah I've warmed up to Aitken too. seems to be the better option out of the "500k" mid rangers (Mann, Sloan, Bird, Cotter. Martin, Capewell, Fermor)

    I solved this selection issue by not having any 500k mid rangers at all, just 6 guns (Ipap, Angus, Fifita, Cleary, Teddy, Papy) and 15 cheapies (all 350k or less)
    Rabbits21
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    Post by Rabbits21 Fri Mar 04, 2022 11:18 am

    rhinoceroo wrote:Who's this year's Aubusson then? I don't mean in looks (Nicho, obviously) but in the black widow tempt you in with a this-is-the-year high scoring role and a couple of 50+ scores before being shifted anywhere and everywhere through the backline with in-game injuries and then onto the bench.

    Ladies and gentlemen, I give you Kurt "The Redback" Mann.

    Maybe Karl Lawton
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    Post by Chewie Fri Mar 04, 2022 11:18 am

    Bethany_B wrote:

    I solved this selection issue by not having any 500k mid rangers at all, just 6 guns (Ipap, Angus, Fifita, Cleary, Teddy, Papy) and 15 cheapies (all 350k or less)

    ha nice!

    gun gun gun gun gun gun
    cow cow cow cow cow cow cow cow cow cow cow cow cow cow cow
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    Post by B/L Fri Mar 04, 2022 11:21 am

    I'll have 50 on the Mulvy train thanks.
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    Post by Aardvark Fri Mar 04, 2022 11:21 am

    my tv broke wrote:

    its probably worse that the Roosters claimed it 'categorically did not happen' after a 'thorough investigation', than the actual incident.

    if you do a dumb shit thing just say sorry and own it. fucking hell. all the 'im a leader now' crap. spare me. people say and do dumb things. it happens. get better.

    I had a rant about this yesterday without naming the players but all this 'i'm a leader at the club and now I plan to be a family man yada yada' who gives a flying one! Just own up to it, apologise for the impact it's had and don't be a prick in the future. DeBelin's was much, much, worse....no mention of the fact it was a despicable thing to do regardless whether or not criminality could be proved beyond reasonable doubt & that it had wide ranging impacts on everyone involved just all that 'I always knew I was innocent and now I'm a family man blah blah blah'

    it would be better if they didn't say anything.


    Last edited by Aardvark on Fri Mar 04, 2022 11:22 am; edited 1 time in total
    robelgordo
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    Post by robelgordo Fri Mar 04, 2022 11:21 am

    my tv broke wrote:

    its probably worse that the Roosters claimed it 'categorically did not happen' after a 'thorough investigation', than the actual incident.

    if you do a dumb shit thing just say sorry and own it. fucking hell. all the 'im a leader now' crap. spare me. people say and do dumb things. it happens. get better.

    Yeah club is worse IMO. Just a protection racket. Should be fine TBH. Maybe a smaller sombrero size.

    Would’ve been much easier and more effective to say “I was drunk idiot, won’t happen next time” and apologise. I think people understand men do stupid shit in their 20s all the time if they own it.

    Instead they all spent weeks denying it even happened and making a 20yo girl seem like bitches be crazy.
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    Post by Chewie Fri Mar 04, 2022 11:23 am

    @Mearcats

    Sorry to hear you lost your job
    NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 4 - Leniu is back on the menu - Page 40 Meerka10
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    Post by my tv broke Fri Mar 04, 2022 11:27 am

    robelgordo wrote:Instead they all spent weeks denying it even happened and making a 20yo girl seem like bitches be crazy.

    this is the general go to, its pretty gross.
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    Post by Rabbits21 Fri Mar 04, 2022 11:42 am

    No one else keen to start with Jack Bird?

    With Milf going to the Knights I’m now avoiding Clifford.
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    Post by Milchcow Fri Mar 04, 2022 11:43 am

    Bethany_B wrote:

    I solved this selection issue by not having any 500k mid rangers at all, just 6 guns (Ipap, Angus, Fifita, Cleary, Teddy, Papy) and 15 cheapies (all 350k or less)

    Like the girl with the tacos. There are 2 good options to choose from, and I am not sure which is the best

    NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 4 - Leniu is back on the menu - Page 40 Why-no10
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    Post by mattnz Fri Mar 04, 2022 11:49 am

    Interview with Whackos Whispers - yeah I know.... I listened to it so you don't have to
    https://www.talkingleaguepod.com/

    Cleary 50/50 for round 1

    Expects Jennings to start over Staines

    Eisenhuth may not be ready for round 1 with ankle injury. Be careful jumping on Leniu if missing in round 1

    Harper should be fine for Round 1, so no Koula

    10-12 day turnaround when you have covid. Typically miss 2 games.

    Murray should start Round 1

    Leo Thompson could get a bench spot for Knights at $220k. Was just upgraded to top 30 contract.
    https://www.nswrl.com.au/players/nsw-cup/canberra-raiders/leo-thompson/

    Roberts expected to get a top 30 contract and start at CTR

    Expects Tuilagi to get the spot on form. Was in top 30 at Storm. Garner coming back from injury, doesn't expect him on the bench round 1.

    Nathan Brown likely reduced minutes to start the season coming back from injury.

    Fermor and Fifita starting, with Proctor playing in the middle off the bench.

    RFM back rounds 4-6, but eased in through NSW Cup.

    Expects Mam to be the 6 at Broncos by mid-season.
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    Post by Bethany_B Fri Mar 04, 2022 11:54 am

    Milchcow wrote:

    Like the girl with the tacos. There are 2 good options to choose from, and I am not sure which is the best

    NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 4 - Leniu is back on the menu - Page 40 Why-no10

    LMAO pretty much. I don't like paying 500k for a guy who might gain 10 points on their average, when I can pay 350k for a guy who might gain a lot more, and make quicker money. Having 6 top tier guns instead of 3 or 4 plus mids can also save trades, as I plan to hold all 6 of my guns to the end of the season if I can (pending any further concussions for Papy)
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    Post by easytiger Fri Mar 04, 2022 11:59 am

    Rabbits21 wrote:No one else keen to start with Jack Bird?

    With Milf going to the Knights I’m now avoiding Clifford.

    He's going to the Knights based on:

    "reports his court charges could be cleared."

    and

    "Newcastle Knights are weighing up throwing Milford a lifeline if he's cleared from the courts"

    both quotes are from a journo quoting a journo

    Seems a sound reason for ruling a player out

    I hear Brooks also might be going to the Knights, Nathan Cleary is a dead cert to link up with his Dad at the Tigers (still waiting on that one), Garner is off to the Sea Eagles, and Kelma Tuilagi (although nearly a month on that contract still doesn't appear to have been registered).

    I think you probably get where I'm going with this... like players with injuries, it may happen, it might not, either way who knows when it will...
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    Post by mattnz Fri Mar 04, 2022 12:00 pm

    Bethany_B wrote:

    LMAO pretty much. I don't like paying 500k for a guy who might gain 10 points on their average, when I can pay 350k for a guy who might gain a lot more, and make quicker money. Having 6 top tier guns instead of 3 or 4 plus mids can also save trades, as I plan to hold all 6 of my guns to the end of the season if I can (pending any further concussions for Papy)

    For team structure, I don't mind having 1 or 2 mids that don't work out. Allows you to trade in the mids that are on fire, like iPap last year. If you have just guns and cows you dont want to trade out the guns and the cows havent peaked, so you cant easily grab the great value sub-guns that are shining.
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    Post by my tv broke Fri Mar 04, 2022 12:00 pm

    I'm sure Milford also did a full NRL pre-season, on his own, at home, while eating mcdonalds.
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    Post by Milchcow Fri Mar 04, 2022 12:02 pm

    Just on Aitken and Burton

    Aitken
    Priced at 43, his 5 non-injury 2ndrow games have seen an average of 36 tackles and 122 run metres. Couple of missed tackles a game, but that is his BE right there and everything else is a bonus. If he stays 2nd row, is there anything that suggests they aren't sustainable, at least until return of Tohu?
    Maybe Vlandys-ball rule changes might slow things down, but that would impact basically every player so don't think it is worse for Aitken.


    Burton priced at 48 averages 67 in the halves (old scoring)
    (Note in round 16 last year he was named at five-eighth, but played centre, swapping with Tyrone May after kickoff, so ignore that low score when looking at stats)
    New scoring takes that down to just under 60 - still pretty good for a 48 price. But that includes 7 tries in 9 games , a line break every game and a try assist about once every 2 games. How much of that can he maintain at the Dogs? Despite their lackluster effort against Cronulla, I believe the Dogs will improve this year - but will it be by enough to keep Burton's scores about 50?
    I think he can average over his starting price, but maybe not by heaps so might be OK to watch for a few weeks and jump on later, and just hope he doesn't pump out a century in the early rounds.


    Last edited by Milchcow on Fri Mar 04, 2022 12:15 pm; edited 1 time in total

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