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    NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 4 - Leniu is back on the menu

    my tv broke
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    Post by my tv broke Fri Mar 04, 2022 12:05 pm

    I had no interest in Aitken, but I've come around to the idea.
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    Post by Ramitinmyhaaas Fri Mar 04, 2022 12:06 pm

    Being reported that Walters and Kelly will be the halves for round 1, Capewell captain
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    Post by easytiger Fri Mar 04, 2022 12:07 pm

    my tv broke wrote:I'm sure Milford also did a full NRL pre-season, on his own, at home, while eating mcdonalds.

    Yeah, I hear he has a friend who is a Knights fan and has filled him in on all their attacking/defensive structures
    Will be ready to go as soon as the charges are dropped

    Clifford/Clune could only get 3 weeks together before Milford could displace either and could dominate the kicking and could play 80 because he's fitter than he's ever been and could have even got his pace back - hmm when will they add Milf into the system so I can load up on that one...
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    Post by Milchcow Fri Mar 04, 2022 12:10 pm

    Bethany_B wrote:

    LMAO pretty much. I don't like paying 500k for a guy who might gain 10 points on their average, when I can pay 350k for a guy who might gain a lot more, and make quicker money. Having 6 top tier guns instead of 3 or 4 plus mids can also save trades, as I plan to hold all 6 of my guns to the end of the season if I can (pending any further concussions for Papy)

    Most of the $350k guys are outside backs who, on the whole, are going to disappoint.
    We aren't about to see multiple rookie/unproven centers start hitting fantasy averages of 40

    Vailea who scored 12 points in his only 80 minute full time appearance, and doesn't even have a secure first grade spot, might be a lot cheaper than Burton and Aitken, but he is not a better chance at helping your fantasy team.
    Will Penisini might be a promising young player, but being a decent centre doesn't magically give him a 5 point bonus to his weekly fantasy score
    Many of them have dubious job secuirity

    And if you have every cheap player who hits first grade in your starting 21, it leaves you with very limited options should any of them fail - as you've got nowhere to go for replacing them.

    If it comes off you can laugh all the way to the bank, but its a very risky strategy
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    Post by mattnz Fri Mar 04, 2022 12:12 pm

    nrl.com teams - hard to take them seriously when they have Paix on the bench and Isaako and Oates as the wings ahead of Periera, Tapine on the bench..... most of us could do better.

    https://www.nrl.com/news/2022/03/04/your-teams-predicted-lineup-for-round-12/
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    Post by Revraiser Fri Mar 04, 2022 12:15 pm

    easytiger wrote:

    I find myself conflicted between an urge to unravel a mystery and a general disinterest and contempt for Alts.
    Anyway,

    The quoted post above was made when it was Welshy's turn to pick in NRL FF Draft League 1.
    His previous draft pick was Keary.
    I don't see how anyone outside of L1 would know that. Hence, the Alt is in L1.

    NRL FF Draft League 1 members suspects:



    wolfking - Too busy for that shit


    That leaves a villainous 5:


    pookus - not in the DL1 - but likes to be included in any villainy mentions... 1000-1

    I want odds on Wolfy, and a greenback on Pookus. The ultimate subterfuge may have taken place and Wolfy has done his best to throw the scent

    NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 4 - Leniu is back on the menu - Page 41 Giphy.


    Last edited by Revraiser on Fri Mar 04, 2022 12:35 pm; edited 1 time in total
    rhinoceroo
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    Post by rhinoceroo Fri Mar 04, 2022 12:20 pm

    mattnz wrote:Interview with Whackos Whispers - yeah I know.... I listened to it so you don't have to
    https://www.talkingleaguepod.com/

    Cleary 50/50 for round 1

    Expects Jennings to start over Staines

    Eisenhuth may not be ready for round 1 with ankle injury. Be careful jumping on Leniu if missing in round 1

    Harper should be fine for Round 1, so no Koula

    10-12 day turnaround when you have covid. Typically miss 2 games.

    Murray should start Round 1

    Leo Thompson could get a bench spot for Knights at $220k. Was just upgraded to top 30 contract.
    https://www.nswrl.com.au/players/nsw-cup/canberra-raiders/leo-thompson/

    Roberts expected to get a top 30 contract and start at CTR

    Expects Tuilagi to get the spot on form. Was in top 30 at Storm. Garner coming back from injury, doesn't expect him on the bench round 1.

    Nathan Brown likely reduced minutes to start the season coming back from injury.

    Fermor and Fifita starting, with Proctor playing in the middle off the bench.

    RFM back rounds 4-6, but eased in through NSW Cup.

    Expects Mam to be the 6 at Broncos by mid-season.

    I listened to that and got the distinct impression that Wacko is just a total chancer who reads the forums and then blags it. This is not inconsistent with my previous impression of him based on his tweets and teamlists. I'd take as much, maybe less, notice of his info as any random on here (no offence).
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    Post by my tv broke Fri Mar 04, 2022 12:23 pm

    rhinoceroo wrote:I listened to that and got the distinct impression that Wacko is just a total chancer who reads the forums and then blags it. This is not inconsistent with my previous impression of him based on his tweets and teamlists. I'd take as much, maybe less, notice of his info as any random on here (no offence).

    I thought this was pretty well known.

    A lot of what he posts as 'whispers' is just stuff pulled from interviews on club websites that no one else bothers to watch.

    It's actually quite funny how much info you can get direct from club websites (from player/coach media, injury reports, etc)
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    Post by my tv broke Fri Mar 04, 2022 12:27 pm

    mattnz wrote:nrl.com teams - hard to take them seriously when they have Paix on the bench and Isaako and Oates as the wings ahead of Periera, Tapine on the bench..... most of us could do better.

    https://www.nrl.com/news/2022/03/04/your-teams-predicted-lineup-for-round-12/

    my opinion means nothing but with the halves debacle i think we might start with turpin at 9, and isaako at 1

    oates or pereira on the wing is probably up for debate

    (i would hope these decisions have already been made, but we aren't going to know for sure until TLT...)


    Last edited by my tv broke on Fri Mar 04, 2022 12:35 pm; edited 2 times in total
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Fri Mar 04, 2022 12:28 pm

    easytiger wrote:


    Mulvy - Dolphin likes to back up arguments with facts, but then some are more like pseudo-facts with a degree of confirmation bias. It could be Mulvy, but if it is, I think it's likely a split personality and even Mulvy doesn't know he's the dolphin. 8-1


    lol!
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    Post by Mulvy Fri Mar 04, 2022 12:46 pm

    Welshy wrote:Not sure I could look at Clifford because he’s absolute fucking dogshit in RL

    Disagree, has loads of talent. His development was fucked around by Green ruining his confidence by turfing him after one ordinary game or some such. I think he's starting to show what he can do. Has both a good long boot and a good short kick (now that he seems to have reeled in kicking it dead which was a weakness).
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    Post by Chucky Fri Mar 04, 2022 12:51 pm

    On the whole Dolphin alt talk, at my old job dolphin was code word for cunt.
    What odds for the original Rabbit?
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    Post by The Bludger#2 Fri Mar 04, 2022 12:51 pm

    easytiger wrote:

    He's going to the Knights based on:

    "reports his court charges could be cleared."

    and

    "Newcastle Knights are weighing up throwing Milford a lifeline if he's cleared from the courts"

    both quotes are from a journo quoting a journo

    Seems a sound reason for ruling a player out

    I hear Brooks also might be going to the Knights, Nathan Cleary is a dead cert to link up with his Dad at the Tigers (still waiting on that one), Garner is off to the Sea Eagles, and Kelma Tuilagi (although nearly a month on that contract still doesn't appear to have been registered).

    I think you probably get where I'm going with this... like players with injuries, it may happen, it might not, either way who knows when it will...
    Milf's lazy slob who had one great season. On a mill per year, sat back and laughed at the Broncos.
    The Knights don't need him.
    If they give him a league-lifeline; then it will be on the bench for minimal minutes or backline cover.
    He won't be pushing the Big Red Dog out of the halves any time soon.
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    Post by The Bludger#2 Fri Mar 04, 2022 12:54 pm

    Milchcow wrote:Just on Aitken and Burton

    Aitken
    Priced at 43, his 5 non-injury 2ndrow games have seen an average of 36 tackles and 122 run metres. Couple of missed tackles a game, but that is his BE right there and everything else is a bonus. If he stays 2nd row, is there anything that suggests they aren't sustainable, at least until return of Tohu?
    Maybe Vlandys-ball rule changes might slow things down, but that would impact basically every player so don't think it is worse for Aitken.


    Burton priced at 48 averages 67 in the halves (old scoring)
    (Note in round 16 last year he was named at five-eighth, but played centre, swapping with Tyrone May after kickoff, so ignore that low score when looking at stats)
    New scoring takes that down to just under 60 - still pretty good for a 48 price. But that includes 7 tries in 9 games , a line break every game and a try assist about once every 2 games. How much of that can he maintain at the Dogs? Despite their lackluster effort against Cronulla, I believe the Dogs will improve this year - but will it be by enough to keep Burton's scores about 50?
    I think he can average over his starting price, but maybe not by heaps so might be OK to watch for a few weeks and jump on later, and just hope he doesn't pump out a century in the early rounds.
    This.
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    Post by Friendly Neighbour Fri Mar 04, 2022 1:07 pm

    B/L wrote:I'll have 50 on the Mulvy train thanks.

    Hi didly ho neighbourino!

    First of all I would like to say that I don't condone-didly-one gambling, it goes against the bible. And I should know, I've done everything the bible says. Even the stuff that contradicts the other stuff. But I have it on good authority from Mrs Lovejoy the town gossip, that whilst Mulvy has the time for an alt now that he's in isolation, he's been too addid-didly-icted to playing Civ Rev and trying to beat his wife's culture victory record, for any of that silliness, bless him.

    Anyhoo, remember watch Fox and be damned for all eternity. Okily dokily, I'd love to chitty-chat, but tonight's the night I do my charity work.

    Ned.
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    Post by Mulvy Fri Mar 04, 2022 1:18 pm

    @Mr peanutbutter

    Open your PM and join your leagues or you will be replaced. Cheers.
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    Post by Milchcow Fri Mar 04, 2022 1:18 pm


    Just adding to premium CTR chat

    Jack Bird priced at 43
    Base stats from 4 edge starts last year - 32 tackles and 104 metres. But a whopping average of 4.5 missed tackles a game. If he is going to keep missing those tackles he needs some attacking stats to get himself into value territory. His stats from those games also boosted by high scoring and potentially unreliable Try Save and Turnover Tackle stats. Potential is certainly there if he nails down an edge starting spot. If eh starts with a big game in the first 2 rounds I think a few will be trying to rush him in. Current thoughts for me are that he is a tad below Aitken and Burton though.
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    Post by Mulvy Fri Mar 04, 2022 1:22 pm

    easytiger wrote:

    He's going to the Knights based on:

    "reports his court charges could be cleared."

    and

    "Newcastle Knights are weighing up throwing Milford a lifeline if he's cleared from the courts"

    both quotes are from a journo quoting a journo

    Seems a sound reason for ruling a player out

    I hear Brooks also might be going to the Knights, Nathan Cleary is a dead cert to link up with his Dad at the Tigers (still waiting on that one), Garner is off to the Sea Eagles, and Kelma Tuilagi (although nearly a month on that contract still doesn't appear to have been registered).

    I think you probably get where I'm going with this... like players with injuries, it may happen, it might not, either way who knows when it will...

    Couldn't agree more. Still, it gives me the heebie-jeebies...
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    Post by L-Jimmy Fri Mar 04, 2022 1:30 pm

    Getting towards a TLT team, really enjoying the chats - thanks all for the analysis.

    Leaning towards a few slightly different choices

    Tolo - because he’s good, has a point to prove, and early season in the heat could be the time to do it. Worse case he doesn’t lose much cash, best case he becomes a 2nd tier captain option.

    Bird and Aitken over Burton - because big minute forwards outscore backs.

    J.Hetherington - a good player who just needs to calm the rage. Possible (not probable) as he ages.

    Aim for guns/cows, so run lean in subs - Schneider Russel Paulo Ilias. Adjust as needed, cross fingers. Play AFifi in the 17, ditto.

    Take Simpkin, Luki, SCritta for unimaginative points and upside.

    Fun times!

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    Post by ytsb Fri Mar 04, 2022 1:30 pm

    Is Moylan locked in to Partner Hynes? I don't have a clue, but there's no evidence of Hynes having a good kicking game from what I can tell. Trindall and Hynes seem to split it. Getting a little sus on Hynes.


    Last edited by ytsb on Fri Mar 04, 2022 1:31 pm; edited 1 time in total

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