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mattnz wrote:
I am trying to balance both getting good players that offer value with, where possible, not choosing the same players as the leaders. You don't need to catch every great opportunity to win, just enough of them.
I could go for Mbye and Alvaro, but the leaders have them, so need to find my own opportunities that have the opportunity to deliver similar value instead.
I think ignoring the impact of Origin and the byes is what the leaders will do and it will cost them a lot of points in that period, if they haven't planned correctly. It is where the game is won and lost most years.
Im with the last poster. It reads to me like you are placing too much emphasis on who the current top players have in their teams at present and perhaps even too much on Origin and Byes (although Im a big fan of planning for that, but I'll concede this years format probably means bye planning won't be as key as in the past). But re comparisons to the top players, I'd be surprised anyone in the top 10 right now end up in the top 10 at seasons end. So to be looking at these guys now as the ones to beat (and differentiate yourself from at perhaps the risk of a guy you consider to be great value) I reckon is a mistake. Its such a long season aye and there is so little separating even the top 1000 players right now when you look at how many points will be scored over the entire season of fantasy.
So, surely the philosophy right now for any team should simply be to pick the best guys out there first and foremost. That will depend on what overall strategy you are running (guns and cows vs value mid rangers etc) but ultimately it will be about maximising scoring with the $s you have available and balancing that with making however much money you require to get to your final 17 or 18 or 19 or what ever number you are aiming for. Next IMO there is the consideration of byes and Origin, and then a distant last is potential PODs (overall, not relative to the current leaders). So for example if you think Alvaro is the best value FRF around then grab him mate, forget that the leaders have him.
Lastly, I personally think two of the keys to winning this year will be (1) figuring out this new format, and what the best squad structure will be - I.e. will it be by taking a risk and having Cam, Friend, Macca, & Cook on the one team at the expense of positional cover? and (2) figuring out the how hard you need to trade early given how many CCs there are this season. Seems to me like there is a ton of money being made (compared to last year anyway) and I just wonder whether an aggressive trading strategy early might be key.
Thats just the way I see it anyway. Hopefully this doesn't read like Im having a dig at you, just offering my take on things for what its worth
this takes you to the last post you read. 